
Recent polling is starting to show mixed results on who Americans would choose in a potential rematch between former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden.
Most recently, a Harvard-Harris poll released last week found Trump beat Biden in a theoretical head-to-head matchup, 45% to 39%.
The Harvard-Harris poll came just two days after a Quinnipiac University poll found that Biden would beat out Trump in a rematch, 48% to 44%.
But, while polling shows different answers for who Americans would support in 2024, the one thing most agree on is that the federal indictment from Trump has had little effect on his popularity.
“A federal indictment. A court date on a litany of charges. A blizzard of critical media coverage. The negative impact on the former president’s standing with voters? Not much at all,” Quinnipiac analyst Tim Malloy noted in the university’s poll.
Meanwhile, Mark Penn, the co-director of the Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, noted that there doesn’t seem to be any signs of Biden’s support increasing.
“Biden’s approval is frozen in place despite the debt ceiling deal and a recovering stock market; yet Trump’s numbers are also unshaken after an unprecedented federal indictment,” Penn shared.
Penn added that while Americans are split politically down the middle, “100% are unhappy with the direction of the country, the economy, and their political leaders.”
Still, a 2020 rematch in 2024 isn’t set in stone yet, as Trump and Biden could be replaced on their ticket, though it seems unlikely.
Among Democrats, Biden holds a 57-point lead over his closest competition in Robert Kennedy Jr.
Across the aisle, Trump holds a 22-point lead over Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, though the Republican field has continued to grow in recent weeks.
The Harvard-Harris poll found that despite the legal challenges, 59% of Republicans would still choose the former president in the GOP primary.
The poll also found that a majority of Americans would support a pardon of Trump’s alleged document wrongdoing (53%), in the name of national unity.