NBA Prop Picks for Monday, November 25

Top player props featuring James Harden, De’Aaron Fox, Nikola Jokic, and LaMelo Ball for Monday’s NBA slate.
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Photo credit Imagn

Monday’s NBA slate is packed with exciting matchups, and with it comes plenty of value in the player prop market. From James Harden’s tough battle against Boston’s elite defense to Nikola Jokic continuing his MVP-level dominance, this article highlights the best prop bets for tonight’s games. Whether you’re targeting points, rebounds, assists, or combined stats, these picks offer a mix of safe plays and high-upside options to enhance your betting experience. Let’s dive into the top NBA prop bets for November 25.

Hornets PG LaMelo Ball Over 42.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists vs. Magic (-110, DraftKings) & Hornets SG Brandon Miller Over 23.5 Points vs. Magic (-110, DraftKings)

With Grant Williams added to the injury report with his season-ending injury, the Hornets will be without him, Mark Williams, Nick Richards, Miles Bridges, Tre Mann and DaQuan Jeffries tonight against the Magic. Therefore, we’re going to see another two-man show from Ball and Miller. Last game (with Williams playing), Ball went 17-of-38 shooting, including 6-of-17 from three for 50 points, five rebounds and 10 assists while Miller went 11-for-23 shooting, including 6-of-13 from three, for 32 points. The two combined for 61% of their team’s shot attempts and 68.3% of their team’s made field goals and also combined to go 14-for-17 from the free throw line (Charlotte went 18-for-21 as a team). Not only that, but Charlotte nearly pulled off the upset win over the Bucks (125-119). I expect to see an incredibly concentrated attack once again tonight against the Magic in a very rare situation in today’s NBA.

Clippers PG James Harden Under 31.5 Points + Assists vs. Celtics (-113, FanDuel)

While Harden has essentially been the floor general for the Clippers this season, he will have an extremely difficult matchup against a Celtics defense that has allowed 31.7 points + assists over 48 minutes to the opposing point guard position this season, including the 4th-fewest assists (7.43). Not only that, but Harden has finished under this 31.5 points + assists number in 12 consecutive games and finished with 16 and 23 in two meetings against Boston last season. Kawhi Leonard is still out and Norman Powell is also going to miss this game, but it should be an uphill battle for Harden to get over this mark, especially since he’s averaged 19.9 points on just 37.0% shooting in that 12-game set with 7.7 assists on 12.5 potential dimes per contest.

Mavericks C Daniel Gafford Over 9.5 Points vs. Hawks (-120, DraftKings)

Gafford leads the entire NBA in field goal percentage (71.4%) and makes most of his scoring happen right around the rim, which is in part what has led him to go over 9.5 points in 10 straight games going into this matchup against the Hawks. Although he splits playing time with Dereck Lively II, Gafford will be needed to produce against the opposing center duo of Clint Capela and Onyeka Okongwu and has had success head-to-head against Capela, scoring in double-figures in five of their last six meetings and seven of their last nine.

De’Aaron Fox Over 29.5 Points + Rebounds vs. Thunder (-114, Caesars)

Fox is on a tear right now and has gone over this mark in nine straight games, averaging 33.6 points on 54.7% shooting with 5.0 rebounds on 8.6 rebounding chances per contest. In that span, the only player that averages more drives than Fox (20.4) is his opponent in this game, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. That playing style has led to OKC allowing an NBA-high 8.03 rebounds per game to the opposing PG position, which bodes well for Fox, who has thrived in two of his last three head-to-head meetings vs. SGA (33 points and eight rebounds and 41 points and three boards) last season.

Raptors SF RJ Barrett Over 5.5 Rebounds vs. Pistons (-135, DraftKings)

Barrett has taken his game to the next level this season and has hit this eight times in a row, including against the Pistons on 11/15 when he pulled down six boards. On that eight-game streak, he’s averaged 7.3 rebounds on 12.1 rebounding chances per game. Keep in mind that against the Pistons, he still got over this number despite the fact that teammate Jakob Poeltl had 18 boards on a ridiculous 33 rebounding chances. With Cade Cunningham likely out again, there should be plenty of opportunities for Barrett to grab some boards; last time out, Detroit got outrebounded 44-to-34 by the Magic, who were down two frontcourt starters.

Warriors PG Stephen Curry Over 10.5 Rebounds + Assists vs. Nets (-135, DraftKings)

Curry has gone over this number in seven straight games, averaging 6.7 assists on 11.1 potential assists and 6.3 rebounds on 9.0 rebounding chances per game in that span. Brooklyn ranks 2nd-worst in team rebounding rate, 10th-worst in assists per game, 6th-worst in opponent assists per field goals made and 7th-worst in opponent assists per possession. Brooklyn not having Ben Simmons available (injury management) is also going to give Curry some more upside as well.

Nuggets C Nikola Jokic Over 50.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists vs. Knicks (-115, FanDuel)

Over his last seven starts, Jokic averaged 30.3 points (57.4% shooting on 19.4 FGA), 15.6 rebounds (25.9 rebounding chances) and 12.1 assists per game (20.4 potential dimes). He’s gone over this 50.5 mark in seven straight and in 10 of his last 11 heading into tonight’s game against the Knicks, who rank 21st in Defensive Rating so far. Based on how utterly dominant he’s been, Jokic is one of the few players in the league that is legitimately matchup-proof and he should get the incredible volume and potential in all three categories once again tonight.

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