Don’t blink, but college basketball will be gracing our television screens again in a week. It feels like just yesterday we were watching March Madness, and I was watching my Illini make a run at the title until they hit the juggernaut that was UConn. It’s going to be another exciting season of buzzer-beaters and improbable upsets, and of course, lots and lots of betting. People are already starting to load up on college basketball, betting the futures market all offseason on who they think will win the National Championship.
BetMGM was kind enough to share some of the early betting splits and line movement on who will claim the 2025 College Basketball National Championship. Let’s take a look at some of these markets, where the money and tickets are going, and what the sportsbook will be looking to avoid by the end of the season.
Line Movement (Open to Now): Kansas +1100 to +850, UConn +1200 to +850, Duke +1100 to +900
Highest Ticket%: Duke 13.3%, UConn 10.4%, Kansas 9.9%
Highest Handle%: Duke 14.5%, UConn 13.8%, Kansas 8.5%
Biggest Liabilities: Duke, UConn, Kansas
This data is always very interesting and important for those of you looking to wager on futures. Right now, it seems very clear and obvious who most bettors will be taking to win the national championship this season. They are flocking to Duke, UConn, and Kansas, with those three programs dominating the early handle at BetMGM. It makes sense, as they are the biggest favorites to win the title, so naturally a lot of people will be betting on them.
I will be looking for when an underdog joins the list of biggest liabilities at BetMGM. We all know some team that is not projected as one of the top favorites is going to be a surprise, and then when that happens, everyone bets on them. You then have an opportunity to bet against the popular team, as they rarely ever actually win.
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