Week 1 of the college football season is here, and BetQL’s model has identified three high-value bets that stand out as must-consider plays. Whether you’re looking to capitalize on a strong point spread, a favorable moneyline, or a sharp over/under, these model-driven picks offer a solid foundation for your betting strategy. Below, we break down each of these 5-star selections, explaining why they hold such strong potential and how you can leverage them to kick off your NCAAF betting season with a win.
ATS: Indiana -21.5 vs. Florida International (-110)
BetQL is projecting Indiana to beat Florida International by 31 points, 44-13, in their home opener. As I detailed in my “Inside My Bet Slip” article, I’m extremely high on the Hoosiers this season as well and am targeting this specific wager in Wee 1. With QB Kurtis Rourke headlining 54 newcomers (including 23 with three or more years of college experience) to Indiana’s program led by new head coach Curt Cignetti, I’m expecting a blowout over a bad FIU team.
ML: UMass ML vs. Eastern Michigan (-145)
BetQL is giving UMass a whopping 77.99% chance to beat Eastern Michigan in their home opener, a -354 implied moneyline. Yes, that UMass. A boatload of impact transfers joined the Minutemen and QB Taisun Phommachanh is an athletic dual threat under center. Despite finishing 3-9 last year, UMass has the edge at home against an Eagles team that went 6-7 in 2023 based on BetQL’s team grades.
O/U: Wyoming at Arizona State Under 47.5 Points (-110)
BetQL is projecting the total of this game at 42 points, with the Sun Devils earning a 23-19 victory. Wyoming is now led by former DC Jay Sawvel as their HC and will take on a defensive identity, which plays right into their strength from last season. The Cowboys were also planning to heavily rely on RB Harrison Waylee to make things happen on the ground, but he’s injured, thus leaving their offensive outlook murky. Defense will be the strength of Arizona State as well, while they’ll lean on Cam Skattebo and DeCarlos Brooks in the running game. The Sun Devils averaged only 17.8 points per game last season and I wouldn’t expect fireworks on the scoreboard. Overall, it’s clear to see why the under is the most valuable bet, per BetQL’s model.
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