The college football season is heating up, and after a 5-2 start to the year (+2.98 units), I’m ready to dive into Week 3 with some exciting matchups. Week 2 results were mixed (won Nebraska -7.5 vs. Colorado and lost Oklahoma -29.5 vs. Houston and Texas Tech at Washington State over 66.5), but with UNLV, Boston College, and Texas on the docket, there’s plenty of value to uncover in the betting markets. Let’s break down the games and why these picks stand out.
Week 1: 4-0, +4.03 units
Week 2: 1-2, -1.05 units
Season: 5-2, +2.98 units
UNLV (2-0) +7.5 at Kansas (1-1)
Friday 9/13 7:00 PM ET (ESPN)
I’ve been on UNLV two weeks in a row and I don’t plan on stopping now. As I previously mentioned, UNLV QB Matthew Sluka, who transferred from my alma mater Holy Cross, had interest from over 50 FBS schools for his final year of eligibility, including multiple SEC programs. He’s shown exactly why through two games. In his debut against Houston, he guided the Rebels to a 27-7 victory by throwing two touchdown passes and an interception while also racking up 59 rushing yards. He didn’t need to do too much. In his second game, he went 8-17 passing for 161 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions and rushed eight times for 71 yards and another score on the ground en route to a 72-14 win over Utah Tech. This will be his biggest test yet, but UNLV is a complete team that was in search of a QB upgrade. I picked them to win the Mountain West before the season started and I wouldn’t be shocked if they won this game outright in Kansas. The Jayhawks are coming off a 23-17 loss at Illinois and QB Jalon Daniels just threw three interceptions, so UNLV will look to bait him into some more turnovers after checking out film from that last contest. I love UNLV at +7.5.
#24 Boston College (2-0) +16.5 at #6 Missouri (2-0)
Saturday 9/14 12:45 PM ET (SECN)
It didn’t take too long for Bill O’Brien to make an impact at BC. After a 56-0 shutout win over Duquesne, BC went to Florida State and dominated from start to finish last week, walking away with a 28-13 victory. QB Thomas Castellanos is one of the less celebrated dual threats in the nation and the matchup against a Missouri team that hasn’t allowed a single point yet will be a tough one, especially on the road, but this Eagles offense isn’t a complete joke like Buffalo or Murray State, Mizzou’s first two opponents. I think there’s a ton of value in this line and want to take advantage.
#2 Texas (2-0) -34.5 vs. UTSA (1-1)
Saturday 9/14 7:00 PM ET (ESPN)
If I had to pick one team to win the championship right now, it’d be Texas. Despite losing multiple running backs from their rotation before the season started, Quinn Ewers looks like a potential No. 1 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft and this team looks stacked on both sides of the ball. After a 52-0 Week 1 win over Colorado State and 31-12 win at Michigan, I have a very hard time believing that UTSA will keep this game within 35. They beat Kennesaw State 28-16 in Week 1, but then just got massacred 49-10 at Texas State and allowed 504 total yards in the process. This will be a beatdown and BetQL is projecting the Longhorns to win by 46.5 points.
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