As we dive into Week 10 of the college football season, some clear trends and opportunities have emerged for bettors. With Army’s powerful ground game set to face a struggling Air Force defense, Vanderbilt’s consistent success as an underdog, and Navy’s remarkable streak of hitting the over, there’s plenty of value to be found. Our expert picks break down why these teams are primed to cover, along with insights into each matchup’s key stats and betting angles. Let’s explore how you can capitalize on these standout trends and boost your bankroll this weekend.
#21 Army (7-0) -22 vs. Air Force (1-6)
Army enters this contest undefeated and 6-1 ATS, almost the inverse of Air Force’s 0-6 ATS mark. The Black Knights lead the nation with a whopping 356.5 rushing yards per game and it just so happens that Air Force has gotten crushed on the ground this season, allowing 207 rushing yards per game, which ranks 119th out of 134 FBS teams. Navy (who runs an option like Army), easily dispatched Air Force by the score of 34-7 a couple weeks ago and rushed for 329 yards against them, so I have very little confidence the Falcons will be able to keep this one close this week. I expect a blowout win for Army, who ranks 7th in the nation in points per game with 40.2.
Vanderbilt (5-3) +7 at Auburn (3-5)
Vanderbilt has consistently crushed as an underdog this season. In fact, they’ve gone a perfect 5-0 ATS when listed as an underdog this season and SEC underdogs in general have hit at a 70.27% rate this year. Vandy came very close to beating Texas (27-24 loss) last week, notably beat Alabama on October 5, beat Virginia Tech earlier in the season and narrowly loss to Missouri (30-27) at the end of September, so the Commodores have been right there and could easily be 7-3 and ranked right now. Auburn is not the same caliber team as the programs I mentioned above and I expect Vandy to keep this one within a touchdown and stay undefeated ATS as an underdog.
Navy (6-1) at Rice (2-6) Over 50.5
Navy has gone 8-0 to the over so far this season and has scored an average of 39.0 points per game (8th) while allowing 24.7 (60th). Rice has allowed 27.6 points per game (78th) and has struggled to generate points (14.9), but we might not need them to do too much against the Midshipmen, who are going to put up plenty of points. Navy averages 268.0 rushing yards per game (3rd) while Rice has struggled in that regard, allowing 177.6 (95th) per contest. I expect Navy to blow Rice out and at this point of the year, I’m going to just keep betting overs in Navy games since the bet has literally not lost one time all season.
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