NFL Week 15 offers plenty of opportunities to cash in on anytime touchdown scorer bets. With intriguing matchups like the Browns vs. Chiefs, Panthers vs. Cowboys, and Colts vs. Broncos, there’s no shortage of potential value plays. From red-zone workhorses to emerging playmakers, we’ve identified three standout touchdown picks to target this week. Let’s break down why Nick Chubb, Adam Thielen, and Jonathan Taylor are prime candidates to find the end zone.
Browns RB Nick Chubb vs. Chiefs (+160, FanDuel)
Fading the Chiefs ATS has been pretty much a certainty every single week this NFL season, and it has been extremely profitable as well. If the number is anything above -3, you are swimming in money since Kansas City can never seem to cover as a favorite of any size over a field goal. I have already bet on the Browns at +5.5, and they are down to +4 now in the market, as other people are starting to catch on that the Chiefs struggle to cover the number. This bet correlates with the Browns keeping it close.
Chubb is an absolute beast in the backfield and has an opportunity to rush the ball in for a touchdown in almost every game he plays. When the Browns get down to the red zone, he gets a ton of usage, and is also a threat in the passing game down there. With a total of just 43.5, this is not expected to be a higher-scoring contest, and I expect Cleveland to hand the ball to Chubb a lot here.
Panthers WR Adam Thielen vs. Cowboys (+210, FanDuel)
I obviously would back Chuba Hubbard to score a touchdown here, but he is juiced to the moon at -180 in some places, so he can only be used in a parlay. I like the Panthers to finally get a win here against the Cowboys, and I have liked the recent play of QB Bryce Young, who is finally starting to come out of his shell a little bit. He’s made noticeable improvement since coming back from his benching. He’ll face a Cowboys defense that has been better as of late, but still is not very good and is questionable at best in the secondary.
Thielen is a veteran who has been around for a while, and he and Young have started to develop a bit of a rapport together. Over the last two games, he’s gotten double-digit targets from Young, and has a combined 17 catches. He also nabbed a touchdown against Tampa Bay, and I think he has a great chance here against Dallas to get into the endzone with how often he has been looked at as of late.
Colts RB Jonathan Taylor vs. Broncos (+110, DraftKings)
This is a game that I feel like will play out a lot like the Browns game I talked about above, as in I think it will be lower-scoring. I also have backed the Colts to cover at +4, as the Broncos are now getting a lot of respect in the market after three straight wins. Their defense has been great, but they do have some holes that can be exploited.
I don’t necessarily trust Anthony Richardson on the road, but I do trust Taylor to do some damage on the ground, where Denver is weaker. In what I think will be a low-scoring game that Indy keeps close, Taylor would get a ton of work as well. Looking at his last few games, he got over 20 carries in three of his last four games. The only one he didn’t was against the Lions, as the Colts were getting blown out and needed to pass a lot. This bet correlates with the Colts keeping the game close, and he is always a threat to get into the endzone when they get to the goal line.