Brock Purdy has struggled against quality opponents, going just 1-8 against the spread (ATS) in his last nine games versus teams with .500 or better records. That concerning trend is in focus as Purdy and the 49ers face the surging Detroit Lions on Monday Night Football.
Purdy impressed during his rookie campaign, completing 69.4% of his passes for 4,280 yards, 31 touchdowns and 11 interceptions in 16 regular season games. His 113.0 passer rating ranked among the NFL’s best. However, his second year has been less stellar, with a 65% completion rate, 17 touchdowns and 10 interceptions over 14 games, leading to a modest 94.4 passer rating.
Injuries to key weapons like Christian McCaffrey and Brandon Aiyuk have hindered the 49ers’ offense, exposing Purdy’s limitations as more of a game manager. Without a full supporting cast, the Niners have struggled to keep pace with stronger opponents.
BetQL highlights value in fading Purdy once again, with the Lions (-3.5) projected closer to -6.5 based on their current form.
With the Lions looking to end a 14-game straight-up losing streak in San Francisco that dates back to 1975, Purdy’s ATS woes against winning teams could spell trouble for the Niners in prime time.
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