Looking to make the most of Week 16's Sunday slate? BetQL’s model has been delivering consistent winners, and this week’s top-rated picks promise more of the same. Highlighted by two 5-star bets—the Giants covering against the Falcons and the Browns-Bengals game soaring past the total—these plays come with strong historical backing. Let’s break down why the model is so high on these bets and how you can use this analysis to cash in.
Giants (2-12) +8.5 at Falcons (7-7): -110, DraftKings
Star Rating: 5
The BetQL model has been on fire in the NFL as of late, cashing wagers left and right for subscribers. The model has gone 310-212-18 (60% win) on 3-Star and higher NFL bets of $100 in the last 90 days, generating over $1,000 in pure profit. It’s rare that the model actually has a bet that is a 5-star play on the spread, but when it does, it has also done a great job at cashing tickets. The model has gone 10-7-2 (59% win) on 5-Star NFL spread bets of $100 in the last 90 days.
The model is projecting the Giants as just a +2.5 underdog in this game now that rookie QB Michael Penix Jr. has been announced as the starter for the Falcons. Everyone knows that sometimes it can be difficult for rookie signal-callers to have success in their first game, and that might be the case here. Bo Nix threw multiple picks in his first game, Jayden Daniels didn’t have a touchdown, and Caleb Williams completed less than 50% of his passes.
Granted, the Giants are about the softest landing he could hope for in an NFL debut, but that doesn’t mean he won’t have to adjust.
Browns (3-11) at Bengals (6-8) Over 46.5: -110, BetMGM
Star Rating: 5
The model, like any handicapper, has some teams where it has just historically been better at handicapping than others. One team that the model has been great at betting on is the Cleveland Browns, who it has been very successful picking over the course of its history. The model has gone 293-218-77 (58% win) on All Cleveland Browns bets of $100. Here we have another 5-star wager, and it just so happens to be in a game that involves the Browns against the Bengals.
We all know the situation with the Bengals. They can still make the playoffs at this point, but it has been a disappointing year overall for them. The offense has done their job, and QB Joe Burrow would be an MVP candidate if it wasn't for the eight losses the team has suffered. However, the defense is what has really let this team down. They have been giving up loads of yards and points pretty much every single week, and we all know that Jameis Winston is not afraid to sling the football. He can also throw pick-6’s, which he does semi-often.
The Bengals offense is going to get theirs in the game, the question will be if the Browns can respond in turn and hit the over for us. The model projects the total at 53 points, which is well above where the total is in the market, thus the 5-Star wager.
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