Either the Baltimore Ravens or Pittsburgh Steelers have been involved in three of the last five postseason games with a spread of at least 10 points. And in all three games, the favorite covered.
If that continues for Saturday’s wild-card matchup, the Ravens will advance to the divisional round with a victory of at least 11 points.
As of Tuesday’s NFL odds at BetMGM, the Ravens are a 10-point favorite. It’s currently the largest spread of the weekend and would ensure a sixth straight postseason with at least one double-digit spread.
With the Ravens’ cover in a blowout win over the Houston Texans last season, favorites improved to 15-10 against the spread since 2004. While the ATS ROI is 15.5% over that time, those same teams haven’t been profitable on the moneyline.
Big favorites are 21-4 outright in the last 20 years, but the four losses have been bad enough to catapult the ROI to approximately -2%.. The Ravens are the most recent 10-point favorite to lose the game; they lost to the Tennessee Titans as a -450 moneyline favorite in January 2020.
Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for updated Ravens-Steelers odds and more postseason odds. You can also bet on futures for each remaining team, including Ravens odds to win the Super Bowl and Steelers odds to win the Super Bowl.