Michigan at Maryland: Trends for big favorites

USA Today
Maryland Photo credit USA Today

Since 2015 — Jim Harbaugh’s first season as Michigan head coach — Michigan is among 19 Power Five teams that have been favored by 17 or more points in at least 20 regular-season games against FBS opponents.

The Wolverines rank 18th in ATS (against the spread) winning percentage. Only Florida (.386) has been worse as a big favorite than Michigan (.448).

Harbaugh’s career began with a 4-2 ATS record when favored by at least 17 points. But from October 2016 through Week 5 of the 2023 season, the Wolverines went 13-23-1, including 9-14-1 in Big Ten games.

The script has flipped in the last six weeks.

Since a push against Nebraska in Week 4 — which extended their ATS winless streak to five games — they’re 4-1. And they’d be 5-0 if not for Purdue’s fourth-down touchdown pass with 18 seconds left in Week 10.

In each of the four wins, they covered by double digits, including at least 20 points three times.

As of Tuesday’s college football odds at BetMGM, Michigan is a 19.5-point road favorite against Maryland in Week 12. Harbaugh is 3-1 as a big favorite against the Terps, most recently failing to cover in 2022.

Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for all Week 12 college football odds, including live sports betting and parlays.

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