BetQL preview: What's the probability that Bears beat Falcons?

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(BetQL) On Sunday, the Chicago Bears (3-7 SU, 4-5-1 ATS, 6-4 O/U) travel to take on the Atlanta Falcons (4-6 SU, 6-4 ATS, 5-5 O/U) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This will be a crucial week for Chicago as it looks to get back on track and snap a three-game losing streak.

The Bears have a 37.1% chance to win the game, even after their last two defeats came by four total points, per BetQL’s game page.

BetQL projection
BetQL projection Photo credit BetQL

However, there's a clear path to victory for the Bears. BetQL simulated this game 10,000 times, and when the Bears committed fewer turnovers than the Falcons, they won 68% of the time. So, the data suggests that if they can take care of the football and force a takeaway or two, the Bears have a solid chance to win. You can find much more insight and info in BetQL's free NFL Playbook.

More than 24 total first-half points is a five-star (max) value, which makes it one of the best bets of the week, according to BetQL's NFL best bets. Historically, the BetQL model has gone 30-14 (68.2%) on first-half Bears over/under bets. If you bet $100 on each one, you’d be up $1,264 right now.

Take advantage now! Bet this risk-free at BetMGM right now up to $1,000 if you don’t already have an account there.

Be sure to check out BetQL’s other best bets for the Bears-Falcons game, along with player prop values, live public and sharp data, betting trends, exclusive sportsbook offers and much more. The model has gone 51-32 (61.5%) on four-star and five-star bets over the last month. Get started with a free trial now.

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