Since opening the season with a .500 record through the first eight games, the over in Philadelphia 76ers’ games has been dominant. At 30-18 (.625) after an easy hit in the 76ers’ loss to the Brooklyn Nets on Saturday, it’s on pace for one of the best records for any NBA team over the last 20 years.
As the Sixers approach the NBA All-Star Break, here are five more NBA betting notes from the first two and a half months of the season:
Over/Under
From 2003-23, the over never finished more than six games above .500 in 76ers games and only once posted an ROI better than +3% (2019-20). At 12 games over .500 as of Feb. 5, the current ROI is +19.4%, the best in the NBA.
Only two teams in the last two decades have finished the season with an over percentage of at least .625: Indiana Pacers in 2020-21 (.630) and Detroit Pistons in 2013-14 (.683)
First-Half Over/Under
Philadelphia’s first-half overs have also been highly profitable this season, especially over the last three weeks.
Since the first-half over missed in three straight games from Jan. 6-12 — and entered the Jan. 15 game at .500 for the season — it’s only missed three times in their last 11 games. It’s now on pace for the most profitable season — at +11% — in the last 20 years.
Spread
The 76ers are tied with the New York Knicks for the league’s third-best record against the spread (29-19). While they’ve been profitable in nearly every scenario (e.g., home, away, favorite, underdog, etc.), no-rest spreads have been an issue.
After going a combined 11-18-1 ATS in 2020-21 and 2021-22 in the second game of a back-to-back, the Sixers went 8-4-1 in those games last season, their best mark in 16 years.
The struggles have returned this year; they’ve covered only three times in nine opportunities, tied for the sixth-worst mark in the league.
Moneylines
Only one above-.500 team has a worse moneyline ROI than the Sixers (-6.8%): Milwaukee Bucks (-9.5%).
While Philly is on pace for a sixth season with a winning percentage of at least .600 since 2017, their ROI has been problematic for bettors.In all but one of those previous five seasons, they finished with a positive ROI:
2022-23: +15.5%
2021-22: +4.1%
2020-21: +0.7%
2018-19: +0.7%
2017-18: +5.8%
They’ve lost six games as a moneyline favorite of at least -200, including last week against the Portland Trail Blazers.
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