BetQL preview: What’s the probability that Eagles beat Packers?

Eagles
Eagles Photo credit Getty Images

(BETQL) The Eagles (9-1 SU, 5-5 ATS, 5-4-1 O/U) will welcome the Packers (4-7 SU, 4-7 ATS, 5-6 O/U) to Philadelphia for their Week 12 clash on Sunday Night Football. BetQL projected the winner for this game as well as the keys to victory for both squads.

Live On-Air
Ask Your Smart Speaker to Play Ninety Four W I P
SportsRadio 94WIP
Listen Now
Now Playing
Now Playing

BetQL is giving the Eagles a 85.14% chance to win this primetime game outright and projects them to win 27 to 17.5. As a result, the model is listing the Eagles (-7) as a three-star value (out of five) and under 46.5 total points as a three-star value as well. You can find much more info on BetQL’s game page.

After simulating this game 10,000 times, BetQL identified the key to the game: limiting turnovers. When the Packers won the turnover margin battle and committed fewer than the Eagles, they won a whopping 94% of the time. While that outcome was rare in the simulations, it was a very significant trend. Speaking of trends, it’s important to note that under Matt LaFleur, Green Bay has gone 6-1 SU after being outgained by their opponents by 100+ yards in their previous game. Despite that, the model is listing the Eagles as the clear best bet to win. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have gone 1-6 SU in their last seven games while the Eagles have the best record in football.

Check out more insight into this game on BetQL’s Best Bets Dashboard and bet it risk-free at BetMGM right now up to $1,000 if you don’t already have an account there!

Be sure to check out BetQL’s other best bets for the Eagles-Packers game, along with player prop values, live public and sharp data, betting trends, exclusive sportsbook offers and much more. The model has hit 67.7% of four-star and five-star NFL bets over the last month, so get started with a free trial now!

Featured Image Photo Credit: Getty Images