Eagles at Chiefs: Mahomes vs. good teams in late-season games


Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs failed to cover the spread in a road win over the Miami Dolphins in Week 14 of the 2020 season.

It dropped Mahomes to 1-4-1 against the spread (ATS) in his career against good teams — teams that entered the game with a winning percentage of at least .600 — in games played in Week 10 or later.

One week later, Mahomes started a four-game ATS winning streak in those games and enters this weekend’s game against the Philadelphia Eagles at 5-6-1. Including the postseason, he’s  13-10-1 (.565) in those games.

That ranks fifth among active quarterbacks (min. 10 games):

Jimmy Garoppolo (.778)

Joe Burrow (.700)

Russell Wilson (.583)

Jared Goff (.580)

Patrick Mahomes (.565)

Jalen Hurts is 4-3 (.571) in those games, including 3-1 in the regular season.

As of Tuesday’s NFL lines at BetMGM, the Chiefs are a 3-point favorite. It’s the most common spread in NFL betting; approximately 15% of all games over the last 20 years had a 3-point spread.

Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for all Week 11 odds, sportsbook promos, and more.

Featured Image Photo Credit: Carmen Mandato/Getty Images