NFL's home-field 'disadvantage' continues in Thanksgiving road sweep

By , Audacy Sports

The proverbial home-field advantage appears to be a thing of the past, at least in the NFL.

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With victories by the visiting Bears, Raiders and Bills on Thursday, the road team won all three games on Thanksgiving, incredibly marking the third consecutive year of that outcome.

A home team hasn't won on Turkey Day since 2018, when the Saints and Cowboys took care of business at Caesars Superdome and AT&T Stadium, respectively.

The 0-9 run for home teams on Thanksgiving follows an overall trend of declining winning percentages for home teams, according to Michael David Smith of Pro Football Talk.

In 2021, home teams are on pace to set a new mark for lowest winning percentage for a third consecutive year, Smith reported -- this time under .500 overall for the first time ever.

In other words, so far this season the supposed home-field advantage has officially completed its total inversion, apparently becoming a disadvantage.

Interestingly, with the three victories on Thanksgiving, road teams improved to a remarkable 8-6 on Thursday in 2021. Given the short week of preparation plus the inconvenience of travel, conventional wisdom suggests road teams would be fighting a decidedly uphill battle on Thursdays, but it hasn't played out that way at all.

Overall, home teams were an astonishing 80-87 this season through Thursday's action, according to Smith.

The development has been widely recognized by oddsmakers and bettors. Home-field advantage was once considered thought to be worth about 3 points in a spread, but that number in recent years has dwindled to about 1 point.

At this rate, we might soon see a road-team advantage baked into the points spreads.

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