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Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Twice in franchise history, the Washington Redskins have selected first overall in the NFL Draft, both in 1948 and 1962. But if things go as poorly as NFL analyst David Carr predicts in 2018, they will have the honor of selecting first again in 2019.

That's because they'll be the worst team in football this season.


Carr is not your average Redskins hater, so his analysis on the quarterbacks who changed teams this offseason is worth a closer look (via NFL.com):

"[Alex] Smith also has the challenge of not having speedster Tyreek Hill and playmaker Travis Kelce to throw to this time around. He's going to have to do a lot to produce 2017-like numbers (4,000-plus yards, 26 TDs and 104.7 passer rating) due to the lower talent level and Gruden's offensive playbook.

"I hope I'm way off when I say that Washington might just have the first pick of the 2019 NFL Draft, but there's a chance I could be right. Think about it."

It isn't inconceivable to see how this could happen.

In Kansas City, Smith captained a mobile-friendly offense and thrived while thinking on the move. That doesn't match Jay Gruden's pocket offense. Even if they give him greater freedom to move around, it will likely be designed plays instead of improvising.

Additionally, the two most profound playmakers on offense are Jordan Reed and Chris Thompson, both coming off of injury-plagued 2017 campaigns. Both could be ready and healthy for Week 1, but will they be available in Week 13? Even if healthy, can they out-produce Kelce and Hill?

A lot remains to be seen, as the Redskins could still land a major weapon in the NFL draft or with post-June 1 veteran additions.

Either way, the pressure is on Smith to make it happen with fewer weapons in Washington.

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