
Tailing the BetQL model has netted you a solid profit in Commanders games this season while watching the team fight back to contention. Our model projected the final score of last week’s contest against the Giants to be 20.5 to 19.5 in favor of the Commanders, and the game ended in a 20-20 tie. It’s hard to get much more spot on than that! The data also recommended the Giants as the best bet to cover as 2.5-point underdogs, and they covered that spread with the tie.
Washington finally gets a much-needed break with a bye in Week 14. They will have to find a way to climb their way to the top of one of the best divisions in football. Perhaps one of the best ways to do that is to look at what they can do to better support QB Taylor Heinicke.
There’s been one player that has had a significant impact in Commanders victories, and it’s probably not who you think. We sim each game 10,000 times, and a key trend has surfaced. While Brian Robinson Jr. has been the featured running back in recent weeks, our simulations have found that when fellow back Antonio Gibson is actively getting the ball in his hands, Washington has much more offensive potential. Not only can he help with the ground attack, but he’s also a versatile pass-catcher, and can be a real security blanket for Heinicke.
Keep that in mind heading into Week 15 against the Giants and check out our model’s best NFL bets for this week on BetQL’s best bets dashboard.
Get more insight on this week’s NFL games on BetQL’s Best Bets Dashboard and bet it risk-free at BetMGM right now up to $1,000 if you don’t already have an account there!