BetQL preview: What’s the probability that Eagles beat Packers?

Eagles
Eagles Photo credit Getty Images

(BETQL) The Eagles (9-1 SU, 5-5 ATS, 5-4-1 O/U) will welcome the Packers (4-7 SU, 4-7 ATS, 5-6 O/U) to Philadelphia for their Week 12 clash on Sunday Night Football. BetQL projected the winner for this game as well as the keys to victory for both squads.

BetQL is giving the Eagles a 85.14% chance to win this primetime game outright and projects them to win 27 to 17.5. As a result, the model is listing the Eagles (-7) as a three-star value (out of five) and under 46.5 total points as a three-star value as well. You can find much more info on BetQL’s game page.

After simulating this game 10,000 times, BetQL identified the key to the game: limiting turnovers. When the Packers won the turnover margin battle and committed fewer than the Eagles, they won a whopping 94% of the time. While that outcome was rare in the simulations, it was a very significant trend. Speaking of trends, it’s important to note that under Matt LaFleur, Green Bay has gone 6-1 SU after being outgained by their opponents by 100+ yards in their previous game. Despite that, the model is listing the Eagles as the clear best bet to win. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have gone 1-6 SU in their last seven games while the Eagles have the best record in football.

Check out more insight into this game on BetQL’s Best Bets Dashboard and bet it risk-free at BetMGM right now up to $1,000 if you don’t already have an account there!

Be sure to check out BetQL’s other best bets for the Eagles-Packers game, along with player prop values, live public and sharp data, betting trends, exclusive sportsbook offers and much more. The model has hit 67.7% of four-star and five-star NFL bets over the last month, so get started with a free trial now!

Featured Image Photo Credit: Getty Images