Bills open as AFC East favorites, but projected win total is 10.5

Vegas appears to be disrespecting the Bills heading into the 2021 season

Unsurprisingly, the Buffalo Bills enter the season as AFC East favorites. However, Vegas is disrespecting them with an over-under total of 10.5 wins.

Caesars William Hill, usually the first of the major oddsmakers to list season projections, pegs Buffalo with an over-under of 10.5 wins. That places the Bills third in the AFC, behind the Kansas City Chiefs (12) and Baltimore Ravens (11).

Over in the NFC, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers open at 11.5 wins, and the Green Bay Packers begin at 11.

On the positive side, early oddsmakers recognize the Bills are the best team in the division. They retained all of their core players this offseason, only losing John Brown, whom they replaced with Emmanuel Sanders.

The Bills also signed Mitchell Trubisky to serve as backup quarterback — one of the coups of the offseason.

But after an AFC Championship season, it would be disappointing if the Bills only won 10 games in 2021, especially since they were victorious 13 times last year. That’s how high expectations are right now.

Meanwhile, the New England Patriots open at nine wins, propelled by their free agent spending spree of nearly $160 million in guarantees. The Miami Dolphins are also at nine victories, whereas the New York Jets are at six.

As the Bills learned over the years, strong springs don’t always produce strong falls. When Brandon Beane took over as general manager, the roster was stacked with expensive free agent veterans, including wide receiver Sammy Watkins and defensive tackle Marcell Dareus. They ended up losing more games than they won.

That’s why the Patriots shouldn’t scare the Bills right now. They bought all kinds of new weapons, but if the season started today, Cam Newton would be under center Week 1. Money can’t fix that problem.

As long as Josh Allen is playing at his best, the Bills are in a great place: division favorites.

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