OPINION: Howard Picks the Bills: Week 11

Where's Howard Simon's confidence level after a second-straight loss for the Bills?
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Buffalo, N.Y. (WGR 550) - After jumping out to a 17-point lead in the third quarter on Sunday against the Minnesota Vikings, the Buffalo Bills collapsed, en route to a 33-30 loss in overtime at Highmark Stadium.

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Buffalo started Sunday's game by getting out to a 24-10 lead at halftime, putting up some good production in the run game with Devin Singletary, while Josh Allen looked calm and precise despite an elbow injury suffered in Week 9 against the New York Jets.

After going up 27-10 with 1:51 to go in the third quarter, the Bills swung the door wide-open for a Vikings comeback, resulting in one of the craziest endings to a football game since the Bills' AFC Divisional Round loss to the Kansas City Chiefs this past year.

Among the notable events to take place at the end of Buffalo's loss to the Vikings:

- Vikings running back Dalvin Cook scampers for an 81-yard touchdown.
- Allen tosses a red zone interception on a 4th-and-2 to cornerback Patrick Peterson.
- The Vikings find the end zone with a full back touchdown, only to miss the extra point.
- Buffalo goes three-and-out to give Minnesota the ball with a chance to take the lead.
- Justin Jefferson makes a circus catch on a 4th-and-18.
- Bills defense stuffs the Vikings at the one-yard line on a fourth down.
- Allen fumbles the snap in the end zone, the Vikings recover for a go-ahead touchdown
- Buffalo travels down the field to tie the game at 30-30 with a Tyler Bass field goal.

After winning the coin toss in overtime, the Vikings had a chance to end the game right off the bat, but failed to score a touchdown despite a trip into the Buffalo end zone. Minnesota would take a 33-30 lead and give the Bills a chance to tie or win the game, but they did chew more than six minutes off the game clock.

After driving down to the Vikings' 20-yard line within the final minute-and-a-half of overtime, the game ended with Allen tossing another red zone interception to Peterson.

The good news from Sunday's game was it didn't seem like Allen was affected by his elbow injury whatsoever, throwing for 330 yards and a touchdown pass.

However, turnovers are starting to plague Allen's game over the past few weeks since the bye week, as he contributed with two more interceptions and a lost fumble that was the downfall of the Bills' loss to the Vikings. The Bills quarterback has tossed six interceptions since the bye week to just three touchdowns, while also fumbling the football three times.

Allen started the 2022 season as the MVP betting favorite, and looked every part of it with 1,980 passing yards, 17 touchdowns, four interceptions and a 67.0% completion percentage. However, in his last three games, his name has fallen out of favor with many in the MVP race.

Photo credit ADMAR Construction Equipment and Supplies

With the loss, the Bills have dropped to 6-3 on the schedule, and have fallen out of the top spot not only in the AFC standings, but also in the AFC East. Within the division, Buffalo now sits in third place with the Miami Dolphins and Jets both holding the tie-breaker on the Bills. In the conference, Buffalo has fallen down to sixth in the standings.

However, Buffalo has the opportunity to bounce back this upcoming Sunday at home, as the Bills get set to host the Cleveland Browns at Highmark Stadium.

So far this season, the Browns have struggled under the leadership of quarterback Jacoby Brissett at the helm. Cleveland has started the season 3-6 in the standings, as they await the debut of quarterback Deshaun Watson, who is still serving an 11-game suspension handed down to him at the start of the season.

Although the Browns may not be the most threatening team in the AFC this season, where they are dangerous is in the rushing attack with the two-headed monster that is Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. As a group overall, the Browns are currently fourth in the NFL with 2,471 yards on the ground, and are tied for the league lead with 5.1 yards per-carry.

As for Chubb, he's currently third in the NFL this season in rushing with 904 yards, only trailing the likes of Derrick Henry and Saquon Barkley.

Although it's never wise to count a team like the Browns out days before kickoff, Howard Simon is feeling confident that the Bills will be able to bounce back after a pair of tough losses.

While Howard picks the Bills to beat the Browns heading into their Thanksgiving matchup with the Detroit Lions in Week 12, he is not so confident that Buffalo can continue their success for the rest of the season. In fact, he has Buffalo losing two more games this season and missing out on the AFC East to the Dolphins, finishing with a 12-5 overall record.

Be sure to follow along on Twitter for the latest picks from Howard by using the hashtag #HowardPicksTheBills. You can also track all of Howard's picks throughout the season with Brayton Wilson's picks tracker on Twitter: @BraytonJWilson.

You can listen to the latest edition of "Howard Picks the Bills" in the player, or watch the Week 11 edition below:

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