No. 1 Utah (+3.5) vs No. 19 Oregon State
In its final season, the Pac-12 appears to be going out with a bang. The conference will also be in the national spotlight on Friday night when two of the Pac-12’s six ranked teams collide with the no. 19 Oregon State Beavers hosting the no. 10 Utah Utes. The all-time series between these programs is tied at 12 wins apiece. However, the Utes have beaten Oregon State three times in the last four seasons and are 7-3 against the Beavers during their time in the Pac-12. In terms of this season, Friday’s game won’t be Utah’s first road test, as they already won at Baylor. A Utah defense that has allowed just 9.5 points per game through four games should be able to travel to Corvallis this week. The likes of Florida and UCLA have had their running games completely shut down against Utah. The Utes have yet to allow more than 121 rushing yards in a game this year. Historically, head coach Kyle Whittingham is 27-6 against the spread after allowing 125 rushing yards or less in at least three straight games. To be fair, Oregon State is 13-4 against the spread since the start of last season while Jonathan Smith is 11-2 against the spread with the Beavers as a home favorite. However, last week’s 38-35 loss to Washington State was a sign that OSU’s defense isn't at the same level as Utah’s defense. The Beavers had trouble sustaining drives earlier this year against a solid but unspectacular San Diego State defense and may not fare much better against Utah, making the Utes an excellent underdog pick on Friday night.
To get college football over under picks and advanced stats for every college football game this week, check out BetQL.
Dolphins vs Bills (-2.5)
The highlight of the Week 4 NFL schedule is undoubtedly the AFC East showdown between the Miami Dolphins and the Buffalo Bills. The Dolphins put 70 points on the scoreboard against the Broncos last week while improving to 3-0 on the season. Buffalo is favored by 2.5 points at home, but if the Dolphins can score an upset win on the road, they will take an early two-game lead atop the AFC East standings. The problem is the Dolphins have lost their last seven trips to Orchard Park, including a 34-31 loss in last season’s Wild Card Round. In fact, Miami has just one road win over the Bills in the team’s last 12 tries and is just 1-8 against Buffalo over the last four years. Needless to say, recent history in this matchup is heavily in Buffalo’s favor. The Bills have also outscored their last two opponents 75-13, crushing the Raiders and Commanders while covering the spread with ease. Buffalo is also 18-8 against the spread under Sean McDermott when coming off a win over an NFC team. The Bills also present a much bigger challenge defensively than Miami has faced this year. Buffalo is allowed the second-fewest runs in the league through three weeks while also scoring the second-most points. Miami’s defense isn’t at the same level, especially while playing on the road, which is why the Bills should be able to cover a field goal in Week 4’s rivalry game.
For NFL expert picks for every game in Week 4, including moneyline picks and public betting data head over to BetQL. At BetQL you can find picks from their computer model, the most updated odds, and public betting data!