Week 17’s Sunday slate brings an intriguing mix of matchups featuring playoff contenders and eliminated teams. While some squads fight for division titles, others are looking to spoil their rivals’ postseason hopes. Same-Game Parlays (SGPs) are a great way to add excitement to these games, combining spreads and totals for correlated outcomes. Here’s a breakdown of the best SGP picks for Sunday, focusing on the Cowboys vs. Eagles, Panthers vs. Buccaneers, and Giants vs. Colts matchups.
Cowboys +14 vs. Eagles & Under 46.5 Same-Game Parlay: -130, DraftKings
We have a ton of games on Sunday, and many of them will feature teams that are out of the playoffs. Others have already secured their bid, and that is what we get in this matchup between two division rivals. The Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles will meet up for a game, and the latter will need to get a win here to secure the division over the Washington Commanders, who are creeping up on them. As for Dallas, the game is completely inconsequential for them since they have been eliminated. Still, they would love to play spoiler here and I don’t expect them to just lay down.
What is very interesting is the status of QB Jalen Hurts for the Eagles, who could be out for this game with a concussion. That would mean backup Kenny Pickett would start, and the Philly offense was basically a field goal show last week when he came in for the injured Hurts. Pickett was 14/24 for 143 yards, with a TD and an INT. Since Dallas still has Cooper Rush starting, I don’t see it being some sort of shoot out here between those two starters.
I think Dallas can keep this close, and I think it will be a lower scoring affair. In addition to Eagles injury concerns, it looks like the weather could also be bad in Philly this weekend. All of this adds up to a low-scoring, close football game.
Panthers +14 vs. Buccaneers & Under 55 Same-Game Parlay: -130, DraftKings
You know that I love to bet the most disgusting games, and this is just yet another example of that. The Carolina Panthers will travel to Tampa Bay to take on the Buccaneers, who are tied with the Falcons for the NFC South division lead. This game means so much more for them than for Carolina, who was eliminated long ago, but that doesn’t mean that the Panthers can’t keep this game close. I think many people will be wagering on Tampa to get a bounce back win here after losing last weekend to the Cowboys in a large upset.
The Panthers have played much better football over the second half of the season, really ever since QB Bryce Young reclaimed his starting job from Andy Dalton. They have consistently been competitive in games, and even managed to eliminate the Cardinals last weekend from playoff contention with a huge 36-30 win in overtime. I think this spread is a bit insane considering how they have played.
I am still not a believer in the Bucs, and that loss to Dallas shows all the reasons why there is reason to be a pessimist with them. QB Baker Mayfield is extremely unpredictable, and you just never know what version of him you are getting on a weekly basis. When these two teams played earlier this year, the Bucs should have lost, but managed to squeak out a 26-23 OT win. They got very lucky, and I think this could be another close contest that goes under the total.
Giants +14 vs. Colts & Under 47 Same-Game Parlay: -130, DraftKings
Another game where I’ll be backing a disgusting underdog to cover a teaser spread, as well as another under. Personally, I feel the Giants have played a bit better than maybe their record shows. Sure, they have horrendous QB play from everyone they throw behind the line, but they haven’t been as dreadful as perceived. I feel like they have been very unlucky at times, which is the exact opposite I can say about the Colts.
Indianapolis has gotten quite lucky with their record, and this is not a very good football team. I would make these two teams much closer than this spread would suggest they are, but the difference in record is so large, they are laying over a touchdown on the road. I couldn’t imagine wanting to back Anthony Richardson as a -7.5 favorite on the road. That just screams that you are begging to lose money, even if it is against the Giants here.
I think New York can keep this game closer than most would think, but I’ll certainly take the +14 in a teaser leg here. I think the under is always pretty valuable, and I think both of these offenses are a bit anemic. Again, this feels like a lower-scoring game that the underdog can cover.
Related
