The biggest game of the year is here, and Super Bowl LIX between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles presents plenty of betting opportunities. One of the most exciting ways to wager on the big game is through player prop bets, allowing you to focus on individual performances instead of just the final score. Below, I highlight the best player props for quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, kickers, and even a defensive player to target. Let's dive into the best bets (BetMGM odds) for Chiefs vs. Eagles!
Best Super Bowl LIX Quarterback Props
Eagles QB Jalen Hurts Over 18.5 Pass Completions (-110)
After completing 13 and then 15 passes in Philadelphia's first two playoff wins, Hurts went 20-28 for 246 yards passing with a touchdown and no interceptions against the Commanders in The NFC Championship Game. While Saquon Barkley is the undisputed center of the Eagles’ offense, that doesn’t mean the Chiefs defense is going to let him dominate this game. In fact, the Chiefs haven’t allowed a single 100-yard rusher in 18 consecutive playoff games! Defensive Coordinator Steve Spagnuolo is going to make Hurts pass the football and will likely stack the box in an attempt to limit Barkley’s upside. Whether or not that’s possible is a different story, but with A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert as his main targets, Hurts should be able to identify single-coverage and/or high-percentage completion opportunities.
Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes Under 0.5 Interceptions (-140)
The last time Mahomes threw an interception was back on November 17 against Buffalo. In the eight games since, he’s been completely clean in that regard and his 6.3 aDOT is indicative of his short passing proficiency unlike last year (6.5) and the year before (7.2). With Travis Kelce, Hollywood Brown, Xavier Worthy and Juju Smith-Schuster as his likely highest-volume targets, the likelihood of Mahomes taking shots downfield or forcing the ball into double coverage remains low, even against an awesome defense like this.
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Best Super Bowl LIX Running Back Props
Eagles RB Saquon Barkley Over 12.5 Receiving Yards (-135)
As I mentioned above, Barkley is going to face a Chiefs team that hasn’t allowed a 100-yard rusher in 18 consecutive playoff games and his prop is at 111.5. I’m not touching that out of respect for both him and his opponent. However, there’s no chance I’m fully fading the birthday boy on the day where he will likely become the single-season all-time leading rusher (he just needs 53 yards on the ground). I really like his receiving yard prop. As Bills running back James Cook (three receptions, 49 yards) showed in the AFC Championship, KC’s defense can be susceptible to pass-catching running backs due to their desire to blitz. He can easily get over this mark with one catch and I expect Kellen Moore to draw up some designed screens for him.
Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco Under 6.5 Rushing Attempts (-140)
This Eagles defense is incredibly difficult to run on and after two inefficient performances in a row by Pacheco, this is Kareem Hunt’s backfield. Pacheco took five carries for 18 yards against the Texans and then five carries for just 12 yards against the Bills, playing 22% and 15% of the snaps, respectively. Both Samaje Perine and Carson Steele stole work from him in the AFC Championship Game and I expect that to continue in the biggest game of the year with a three-peat on the line.
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Best Super Bowl LIX Wide Receiver Props
Eagles WR DeVonta Smith Over 50.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
The three times Smith has faced Spagnuolo’s defense, he’s accumulated 122, 100 and 99 receiving yards. With exactly four catches on four targets in all three playoff games, Smith put up 55, 21 and 45 receiving yards so far, but this blends in with my thinking that Hurts is going to need to throw the football throughout. Smith is going to find himself in single coverage at times and will likely be able to avoid star corner Trent McDuffie for some of the game as he splits his coverage. I love this number for the former Heisman Trophy winner and it’s important to note that he caught seven of nine targets for 100 yards two years ago in the first Super Bowl meeting between these squads.
Chiefs WR Xavier Worthy Over 62.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-110)
I was on this bet in the AFC Championship Game and was elated when Worthy caught six of seven passes for 85 yards and a touchdown and added two carries for 16 yards on the ground. However, that wasn’t a random occurrence. Down the stretch of the regular season, Worthy had multiple carries three consecutive times and easily got over this number with 76, 75 and 89 rushing + receiving yards. Kansas City is not going to be able to effectively run the ball between the tackles in this game and will have to get a bit creative and Worthy is likely going to be the one to benefit as the recipient of WR sweeps, end-around style plays and more. He has the proven ability to get over this number in receiving yards alone, but when adding rushing yards into the equation, it makes it even more valuable.
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Chiefs WR DeAndre Hopkins Over 8.5 Receiving Yards (-125)
Would it shock anyone if Hopkins went off in this game? Mahomes made it a point to mention guys like Hopkins have been working their entire careers to get to this point and I wouldn’t be shocked if he gets looks, especially in the red zone. He caught a pass on two targets for 11 yards against the Bills and saw his usage decline in the first playoff game against the Texans, but had 29, 86, 56, 29, 35, 90, 32, 36 and 37 receiving yards in consecutive games during the regular season, so I reject the notion that he’s completely washed. JuJu Smith-Schuster has essentially stolen his snaps in the playoffs, but I don’t necessarily think that’ll be a predictor of what’ll happen in this contest, especially against elite corners Quinyon Mitchell and Darius Slay. Using Hopkins’ size might be something that appeals to Andy Reid. Nonetheless, we likely really only need one catch to surpass this number.
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Best Super Bowl LIX Tight End Props
Chiefs TE Travis Kelce Over 61.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Before a dud against the Bills (two catches, four targets, 19 yards), Kelce had gone over this number in 14 consecutive playoff games and amassed 81, 133 and 93 over his last three Super Bowls. With Taylor Swift cheering him on in the stands, there’s no chance I’m fading him in what he’s called the biggest game of his life. I don’t care about the tough matchup and will trust his connection with Mahomes.
Eagles TE Dallas Goedert Over 50.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
The Chiefs have been torched by tight ends all season long and Goedert has been crushing it since returning from his injury. With seven catches on eight targets for 85 yards against the Commanders in the NFC Championship, he’s seen very high usage, as we covered in depth in the following article. If you’re laddering anyone in this game, I like Goedert’s receptions and receiving yards.
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Best Super Bowl LIX Kicker Props
Eagles K Jake Elliott Over 6.5 Kicking Points (-140)
Elliott had 10, 10 and seven kicking points in this year’s playoff games and is on a seven-game streak of going over 6.5 dating back to the regular season! I expect there to be resistance for both teams between the 20’s and don’t think it’s out of the question that Elliott kicks a couple field goals and an extra point or something like that!
Best Super Bowl LIX Defensive Props
Eagles LB Zack Baun Most Tackles and Assists in the Game (+175)
Baun finished with double-digit tackles and assists nine times this season, including last game against the Commanders. Not only is he a key factor in stopping the run, but since Mahomes has thrown tons of short passes this year, I think he’ll play a key role once again in this matchup. At +175, I’m fine taking a shot on this.
These Super Bowl LIX player prop bets provide exciting ways to get in on the action. Whether you're backing star quarterbacks, dynamic skill players, or a defensive standout, there's plenty of value across the board. Good luck and enjoy the game!
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