Can Yankees End Divisional Run-Line Struggles?

USA Today
Yankees Photo credit USA Today

If you bet $100 on the New York Yankees’ run line in each divisional game from 2017-20, you would’ve profited more than $3,800. If you continued betting the Yankees’ run lines from 2021-23, you would’ve lost nearly all that money.

After one of the best four-year divisional run-line stretches for any MLB team over the last 20 years, the Yankees have been awful against AL East foes for the last three seasons.

What happened?

Everything.

No one area contributed to the Yankees’ 32-point plummet in ROI — 14.4% to -18.2% — over that time.

They dropped nearly 50 percentage points in home games, going just 33-66 against the run line at Yankee Stadium the last three years after 81-52 the previous four years.

They dropped at least 38 points in games against the Baltimore Orioles, Boston Red Sox, and Tampa Bay Rays, and 18 points in games against the Toronto Blue Jays.

They lost another 20 points as both a favorite and an underdog, in low-total games — when the total closed at 8.5 or lower — and high-total (10 or higher) games, and in games played on six of the seven days of the week (Tuesday).

The Yankees open the 2024 season with seven straight games outside the AL East and only one divisional series — three games against the Toronto Blue Jays — in their first 16 games.

You can bet on each Yankees’ game this season at the BetMGM online sportsbook. You can also view updated World Series odds and sportsbook promotions.

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