The countdown to Super Bowl LVI is officially here, as the Los Angeles Rams (-4.5) and Cincinnati Bengals will meet up to crown this year’s NFL champion. The Rams opened as 4-point favorites and the line dipped to +/- 3.5 before being bet back up to +/- 4.5, where it sits now. Expect some more line movement as the days progress leading up to kickoff on Sunday, February 13 at SoFi Stadium in L.A.
BetQL is your one-stop shop for all Rams-Bengals analytics, projections and best bets for the Big Game. Our full-game projection, projected win percentages, team matchup grades are live on our game page, which also dynamically lists live public/sharp and line movement data. Of course, the bread and butter of BetQL’s platform are the proprietary model’s best bets (⭐ bets don’t have much value while ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ bets have a ton of value compared to consensus sportsbook odds). There are a number of edges that the data is currently pointing to.
Below, you’ll see the best Super Bowl MVP bet along with sample best bets from the BetQL Model, including a player prop!
Super Bowl MVP: Matthew Stafford (+100, DraftKings)
Yes, I’m aware this is a “boring” pick, but it’s the most logical one. First, the Rams are projected to win this game outright (check). Secondly, Stafford is the quarterback on what would be that winning team (another check). Finally, BetQL is projecting him to throw for 300 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions (final check). While Cooper Kupp is also projected to have an elite statistical projection of his own, Stafford will be the one getting him the ball. Quarterbacks have won four of the last five Super Bowl MVP awards and 12 of the last 15, so this is the safest bet to make, especially considering how dominant he’s been in the playoffs so far.
BetQL Player Prop Projection: Ja’Marr Chase Over 80.5 Receiving Yards ⭐⭐⭐
As star Bengals wideout Ja’Marr Chase showed back on January 2 against the Chiefs (when he caught 11 passes for 266 yards and three touchdowns), absolutely no one can defend him. Double coverages can’t stop him, nor can perfect man coverage. Since their days at LSU, when Burrow and Chase are clicking, they’ll put on a show, especially on the big stage.
So far in the playoffs, Chase has caught 20 of 27 targets for 279 yards and a touchdown and has clearly been Burrow’s No. 1 option. Sure, a matchup against arguably the best cornerback in the NFL Jalen Ramsey is scary, but Mike Evans surpassed the 100-yard mark against this Rams defense last week, joining seven other wideouts to pass the century mark against Los Angeles this season. BetQL is projecting Chase to catch six passes for 110 yards and a touchdown and it’s reasonable to expect that Cincinnati will move him around and likely prevent Ramsey from shadowing him on every single snap.
BetQL Model Pick: 1H Over 23.5 ⭐⭐⭐
BetQL is listing this as a three-star value, which is reasonable, given the prolific talent on both offensive rosters. This season, the Rams averaged 13.3 first-half points per game while the Bengals averaged 12.6, so it’s very possible that both squads get off to a hot start before eventually making some defensive halftime adjustments.
Want to see the best full-game O/U bet? The BetQL Model has gone 27-17 (61.4%, +$759 on $100 bets) on Rams full-game O/U bets and 27-21 (56.3%, +$352 on $100 bets) on Bengals O/U bets all-time. Overall, the over has gone 10-9-1 in Rams games and the under has gone 12-8 in Bengals games, which makes this a difficult full-game bet to make if you tend to look at season-specific trends. Luckily for you, our model identified an edge! BetQL has predictions on the side, total, and all top player props for Super Bowl LVI. Sign up with BetQL today and see all of them for as low as $4.99!
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