Americans are on the move, and it’s creating changes to what were once tried and true facts about the electoral college map all over the nation.
In a reversal of the trends of a century ago, when millions moved north to the nation’s metropolitan centers of the northeast, the latest data from the Census Bureau now says there’s a migration back to the south.
Populations in urban centers like San Francisco, Boston, Washington and even New York City have all declined, and it’s putting some southern Republican strongholds back in play as contested electoral areas.
“As people are moving, we’re seeing the effect that has on the Electoral College, how that’s changing coalitions in America, and what a winning map looks like for a Senate majority, or for a presidential candidate,” said senior data scientists Kiel Williams.
The two most populated southern states, Texas and Florida, have both seen an increase in their populations thanks to this influx from the north, but so have areas in the southwest, a turn of events that has pushed Arizona into swing state territory.
Combined with continued Republican ire over inflation and the Democratic push to get out the vote after the overturning of Roe v. Wade, a more tightly-contested south could make this November more interesting at the polls.