From 2004-18, the under was profitable in NFL regular-season primetime games only four times, including only once from 2013-18. It's been profitable in each of the last five seasons and is on pace to do so again in 2024.
Even with two overs on Monday to close Week 4 — and four overs in the last six primetime games going back to Monday's Week 3 games — the under still has a return on investment of 3% this season.
2023: 15%
2022: 25%
2021: 4%
2020: 9%
2019: 22%
There are three primetime games in Week 5, including the Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday Night Football. As of Tuesday's NFL odds at BetMGM, the total for that game is 43.
Through four games, the Steelers unders are 1-3, while the Cowboys are 3-1. The Cowboys most recent under came on Thursday Night Football, a 20-15 win over the New York Giants that closed with a total of 45.
In all other NFL regular-season games since 2019, the under has an ROI of -2.3%. For this season, it's -0.5%.
Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for NFL betting throughout the season, including weekly Steelers odds and Cowboys odds.
If you're in Pennsylvania and don't have a sportsbook account, check Pennsylvania sportsbook promos for a potential welcome offer or BetMGM Refer A Friend bonus.
