The Eagles are off this week, but they enter their Bye Week very much in the race for a playoff spot.
There are some simple paths for the Eagles to get to the postseason. If they win out, they are almost definitely in. They could win the NFC East if the Cowboys collapse. They could probably lose two games if the Vikings fall apart, which could be happening after their loss to the previously winless Lions this past Sunday.
In an ideal world for Nick Sirianni, the Eagles win out and they don’t need help from other teams.
In a world where they do lose another game, however, here is how they could get in.
Shoutout to Deniz Selman, who figured out this potential path to the postseason for the Eagles even if they finish 9-8.
For the Eagles to get into the playoffs at 9-8, seven of these 10 things would need to happen:
CAR loses at least one game
ATL loses at least one game
NO loses at least one game
NYG loses at least one game
CHI loses at least one game
WAS swept by Eagles OR loses at least 2 of their other 3 games
MIN loses twice
SF loses three times
LAR loses four times
GB loses five times
Counting on 7 different things to happen is, on the surface, asking for a lot.
A closer look, however, shows it isn’t that crazy.
Carolina, Atlanta, New Orleans, Chicago and the Giants are almost certainly going to lose at least one more game. All of those teams are either bad, falling apart or have tough games remaining. Any of those teams winning the rest of their games would be shocking. Assuming they all lose at least one more game, that is five of the seven things the Eagles need right there.
Where could the other two come from?
The one within the Eagles control is beating Washington twice. If they do that, they would likely just need to beat either New York or Dallas to get in, but could lose to one of them. Beating Washington twice, but then splitting with the Giants and Dallas, would put the Eagles at 9-8.
The last one of the seven is where things could get tough. Minnesota losing twice is the most likely. They have games remaining against the Steelers (this Thursday), Rams, Packers and twice against the Bears. The Bears are unlikely to beat the Vikings either time. The Steelers are a possibility, but a toss up. The two games the Eagles have to hope the Vikings lose are at Green Bay and home vs. the Rams. Both teams are better than the Vikings and both will have something to play for.
Could the Eagles get the 7 things they need to happen? It might seem unlikely, but the bottom line is that with four games to play, the Eagles have multiple paths to the postseason.
You can reach Eliot Shorr-Parks on Twitter at @EliotShorrParks or email him at firstname.lastname@example.org