NFL Week 11 brings another opportunity to capitalize on sharp plays from the BetQL model, which continues to deliver profitable results for bettors. Highlighting this week’s slate are a 5-star pick on the Chargers to cover -1.5 against the Bengals, a value-packed 3-star moneyline play on the Saints, and a 4-star total on the Colts-Jets over. Let’s dive into the data-driven insights behind these selections and how they can boost your bankroll.
Chargers -1.5 vs. Bengals (5-Star)
The BetQL model has been on fire this NFL season, going a spectacular 12-2 over the last two weeks on 5-star NFL picks, and just adding to the total profits that subscribers are raking in. We have another one here on the spread line, taking the Los Angeles Chargers to defeat the Cincinnati Bengals at home by at least two points.
The model has the Chargers as a much larger favorite, projecting them at -9 at home against Cincinnati, so we are getting some pretty insane value here at under just a couple of points.
The Bengals have been a disaster on defense this season, getting torched through the air and on the ground. While the Chargers offense has not been spectacular, they will be at home here against this defense. Cincy QB Joe Burrow has been one of the best signal-callers in the league this season, seriously playing at an MVP type of level. Unfortunately, his team has been so bad that he probably won’t even be in the conversation.
Saints ML vs. Browns (3-Star)
The only 5-star bet that the model has on a moneyline wager is the Chargers, and we already discussed them on the spread. So, if you would rather bet them on the ML, that is also a 5-star play. Instead, I’ll give you something different here, although admittedly one that isn’t as valuable as the last. This is just a 3-star bet, so maybe a small wager, on the New Orleans Saints to take down the Cleveland Browns.
The model has the Saints at a fair price of -159 at home against Cleveland, so getting them at virtually a pick ‘em shows some value.
Now that the Saints have Derek Carr back, they are at least a team that can put up a fight. Cleveland has a better starting QB now after Deshaun Watson went down for the season, who was only starting because of his contact. It should be a close game between two bad football teams, but the model likes New Orleans.
Colts at Jets Over 43.5 (4-Star)
No 5-star bets on any totals this weekend in the NFL, but we do have several 4-star wagers that can be quite profitable. One of those is taking the over in the Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets game, putting some faith in Anthony Richardson and Aaron Rodgers. It’s a tough pill to swallow, but the model likes it, which is good enough for me.
The model has the total projected at 47.5 points, which is over a field goal higher than what it is listed at on the books.
With Anthony Richardson starting again for the Colts, you would have to imagine they will be using RB Jonathan Taylor more than ever here. The Jets defense has gotten worse by the week since they fired Robert Saleh, and the Colts defense has been nothing special all season. Maybe Rodgers and this offense can finally have some success, even though it is hard to imagine.
Get up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets at BetMGM! All you need to do is CLICK HERE, sign up for a new account, make your first deposit and bet! Don’t miss out!
