Tropical Depression Two, currently in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, is expected to turn sharply westward by midweek and bring a heightened threat of heavy rain and flooding to Southeast Texas by Thursday or Friday.
The National Hurricane Center issued its first advisory on the system Sunday morning. As of early Monday, July 20, 2026, the depression had maximum sustained winds near 30 mph and was moving slowly. Forecasters expect it to strengthen into Tropical Storm Bertha as it drifts northwestward initially before a westward shift.
The main threat is heavy rainfall, with forecasts calling for 2 to 4 inches across portions of the northern Gulf Coast, with locally higher amounts possible. This could lead to flash flooding and coastal flooding concerns in low-lying areas of Southeast Texas. Residents should monitor updates closely as the system’s exact track and strength remain uncertain.
The depression formed from a disturbance that has been monitored for several days. Conditions in the Gulf are favorable for gradual development over the next couple of days. Tropical storm watches have been issued for portions of the Florida Panhandle, with the potential for impacts spreading westward.
Local emergency management officials in the Houston area and surrounding counties are monitoring the system and preparing for possible heavy rain. The National Weather Service advises residents to review their hurricane and flood preparedness plans, ensure emergency kits are stocked, and avoid driving through flooded roads.
While the system is not currently forecast to make landfall as a strong storm, its slow movement could prolong rainfall threats. Southeast Texas has seen above-average rainfall this year, increasing the risk of localized flooding.
Forecasters will continue to provide updates as the system evolves. Texans in coastal and low-lying areas should stay weather-aware and heed any watches or warnings issued by local officials.
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