As we reach the final days before the Nov. 8 elections, control of Congress still seems like it could be a toss-up – even in Georgia, where controversies have plagued the Republican candidate.
Two polling experts – Kabir Khanna, deputy director of elections and data analytics for CBS News, and Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, join host Doug Sovern of KCBS Radio on “The Homestretch” podcast for its final episode to get an overview of this and other key races.
While some recent polling indicates that the odds favor Republicans, data also suggests that Democrats may be able to pull off victories that fly in the face of history. Typically, the party of a sitting president doesn’t do well in the first midterm elections while that president is in office.
“What’s interesting is that traditionally, you know, if you had a president of your party in his first midterm election, the average is you lose three Senate seats and you lose 22 House seats,” said Miringoff. “What’s interesting is that the Senate seems to be much more competitive than that. And because there aren’t so many seats up for grabs in the House, the likelihood is the difference will not be enormous.”
According to Khanna, that isn’t the only bit of conventional wisdom that may fail people trying to guess the outcome of elections next Tuesday.
“A lot of people think of Ohio as a quintessential swing state and always competitive and purple. That's really not true,” he said. “It’s a red state. Donald Trump won it by eight points both times around. So that race certainly leans Republican.”
Listen in for more insight from both, and binge the rest of “The Homestretch” before you head to the polls. It’s available on the Audacy app and wherever you find your podcasts.
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