The 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am is set to bring together some of the world’s best golfers on one of the most iconic courses in the sport. With a star-studded field and unpredictable coastal conditions, this event always delivers exciting finishes and valuable betting opportunities. Our experts have analyzed the field, course history, and recent form to bring you their top outright winner picks, finishing position bets, and prop wagers for this year’s tournament. Whether you're looking for a favorite to dominate or a sleeper with great value, we've got you covered with the best bets for Pebble Beach.
OUTRIGHT WINNER PICKS
Matt Horner: Scottie Scheffler (+500, BetMGM)
I’d be a bit insane not to place a small wager on the world’s best golfer to get a win in his season debut. Scheffler continues to be the envy of the tour, ranked as the No. 1 golfer via OWGR and just dominating the field when it comes to simply winning events. In 2024, he ranked 1st in total strokes gained and in strokes gained on approach to green. He ranked 2nd in strokes gained off the tee as well. The only part of his game that he struggled with was his putting, where he ranked 77th in strokes gained. However, that was still in the top half of the tour, so there was almost nothing not to like about him.
Obviously, this is a super square pick, but that really hasn’t seemed to matter. He has more wins than anyone else over the last several years, and in nearly every one of those events, he was the favorite. He should be favored here and he is, so don’t overthink it. He finished 6th in this event last year with a score of 13-under par, and he’ll want to actually win the event this time around.
Dan Karpuc: Jason Day (+3300, BetMGM)
In 14 starts at Pebble Beach, Day has posted 11 different Top 15 finishes and at this event in particular, he’s finished T7 or better in seven of his last nine starts. He’s in good form at the moment as well, posting a T3 finish at The American Express and a T32 finish at the Farmers, where he struggled with his putter. Last season, his best Strokes Gained: Approach mark (2.449) came at this event en route to a 6th place finish. As one of the best irons players in the sport, he should shine this week and I’m willing to take a flyer on him, especially since since 2016, nobody has had a better Top 10 finish rate on pure Poa greens since 2016 than Day.
FINISHING POSITION PICKS
Matt Horner: Justin Rose Top 20 Finish (+320, BetMGM)
I really don’t understand why Rose is this big of an underdog to just finish inside the top-20 at the event, let alone be 170/1 to win it. He literally won here just two years ago, and has been one of the best golfers on tour at the Pebble Beach Pro AM. In six appearances at the event, he has finished inside the top-11 four times. Over his last seven events, he has just a single missed cut with three top-25 finishes.
I’ll admit he was pretty awful in 2024 in terms of advanced stats, ranking 152nd in total strokes gained. His form hasn’t been the prettiest in the world, but at the same time, he is worth a bet just on course history alone. He seems to love playing here and always seems to find some success. All we need is for him to finish inside the top-20, which he has done nearly 80% of his starts here. At +320 odds, I think that is some good value on Rose.
Dan Karpuc: Harry Hall Top 20 Finish (+220, BetMGM)
Hall is one of the hottest players on Tour right now and his T21 at The American Express was his worst finish in his last six starts dating back to the end of last year. At the Sony Open (T10) and The Sentry (T8) this season, he showed an elite all-around ability to contend and he finished up last year with a T9, T13 and T14 at the Shriners Children’s Open, ZOZO Championship and World Wide Technology Championship. The youngster from England has a ton of promise as he showed by those results and by winning the ISCO Championship back in July of last year, his first Tour victory.
OTHER PICKS
Matt Horner: Robert Macintyre vs. Shane Lowry, Sahith Theegala, Beau Hossler and Adam Scott (+320, BetMGM)
Pretty much every one of these names is more known than Macintyre, but quietly, the Scottish golfer has become a OWGR top-20 golfer. He’s ranked No. 16 in the world and has been playing some exceptional golf recently. In 2024, he ranked 30th in total strokes gained, and also has an advantage in the putting department that a lot of top golfers don’t, where he ranked 35th on tour. He had two wins last year in a breakout campaign, and I expect him to continue to find success in 2025.
I’ll take him here to win his group, which consists of Shane Lowry, Sahith Theegala, Beau Hossler and Adam Scott. Lowry ranked 40th in total strokes gained, Theegala ranked 16th, Hossler ranked 43rd, and Scott ranked 17th. Even with two of these guys having higher strokes gained, I like the momentum that Macintyre brings, and he has been better when it comes to recent form at major courses, where he has made the cut in 13 of the last 15.
Dan Karpuc: No Hole-In-One (-125, BetMGM)
There hasn’t been a hole-in-one at this event at Pebble Beach or Spyglass Rory Sabatini aced the 12 back in 2019 and with only 80 players in this year’s field, there will be fewer opportunities to see an ace than a full field will have. This course has the smallest greens on the PGA Tour and even though there are some iconic Par 3s, I think the value is clearly on this side of the prop, especially at -125. There’s been some movement (from +110), so if you got on this earlier, you got an even better price.
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