Betting on Week 3’s Monday Night Football doubleheader? BetQL’s NFL Model has identified top value plays for both games, helping you gain an edge. The model sees value in taking the Jaguars at +3.5 in the first half against the Bills, with projections indicating a tight game through halftime. In the second matchup, the Bengals are expected to cover the -7.5 spread against the Commanders, as Cincinnati’s high-powered offense matches up well against Washington’s struggling defense. Let’s dive into the data and break down why these picks offer strong betting value.
Jaguars +3.5 1H at Bills
BetQL’s NFL Model is listing this as a 3-star value and is projecting the Jags to be losing by two points at halftime, 12.5 to 10.5. Trevor Lawrence is projected to complete 25 passes for 260 yards, two touchdowns and an interception to lead the Jaguars, who have a defensive edge in this matchup, per the model. While the Bills have the offensive edge and are expected to win and lead at halftime, the data suggests that this will be a very close game throughout and Jacksonville should keep this within a field goal at the intermission.
Bengals -7.5 vs. Commanders
The model is listing this as a 4-star value and is projecting the Bengals to win by 11 points (by the score of 32-21). This is an amazing spot for Joe Burrow and Cincinnati’s passing offense and he will get star WR Tee Higgins back from his injury. The model is giving the Commanders a D+ team grade, including an F on defense in this matchup while the Bengals have a B+ team grade, including a B on the offensive end. That edge should guide them to a victory and cover in front of their home crowd.
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