Looking to cash in on Monday Night Football for Week 4? The Titans and Dolphins face off in what could be a low-scoring affair, but there’s still plenty of value to be found in a Same Game Parlay. By teasing down the total points and banking on key performances from Tyreek Hill and De'Von Achane, this +300 parlay offers strong potential for a solid payout. Let's break down why each leg of this SGP makes sense for tonight’s matchup.
Titans at Dolphins: Over 31, Tyreek Hill 50+ Receiving Yards & De’Von Achane ATTD (+300)
Leg 1 - Over 31: Teasing the total down from 37 to 31 is my first leg of this SGP for Titans vs. Dolphins. The general consensus of this game is that it will be low-scoring, due to the public not really caring much for the QB matchup of Will Levis and Tyler Huntley. Both defenses have played relatively well this season too, and for both of these reasons, 57 percent of the bets and 78 percent of the money is on the under. The sportsbook is likely going to be cheering for points, and I think this game will go over the set total of 37. So, why not give ourselves even more of a cushion? Sure, it is ugly, but I could also see a defense scoring in this game, which would certainly help.
Leg 2 - Tyreek Hill 50+ Receiving Yards: I think we are getting some value here now with Hill, whose receiving yards prop is only set at 52.5, a serious discount from what we are used to seeing. This obviously is due to having a QB that just arrived in the building two weeks ago, and because he has had Skylar Thompson or Tim Boyle throwing him passes. Even though Huntley just arrived, he presents a major upgrade from either of those two. I also expect that since he is so new to the offense, the Dolphins are going to want to get the ball in the hands of their playmakers as quickly as possible.
Leg 3 - De’Von Achane Anytime TD: I also expect Miami to lean heavily into another one of their stars in Achane, who is set up perfectly here to have a very good game. The Titans have struggled this season against the rush so far, ranking 23rd in defensive DVOA against the run and dead last against RBs in the receiving game. Achane is effective in both areas, and I think he has a great chance in this game to score a touchdown because of it. Having Huntley under center will only help him in the passing attack.
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