Looking for winning picks to boost your betting game this Tuesday, September 3, 2024? Our experts have got you covered with their top selections in MLB and WNBA action. From confident moneyline bets on the Orioles and Braves to prop bets and point spreads, these picks offer the best value for today’s matchups. Let’s dive into the reasoning behind each selection to help you make informed decisions.
Dan Karpuc: Orioles ML vs. White Sox & Braves ML vs. Rockies (-143, FanDuel)
I understand that baseball is a weird sport and any team can win on any day, but it’s difficult not to love both of these big favorites today. First, the Orioles (80-59) will take on the historically-awful White Sox (31-108) coming off of a 13-3 Labor Day victory. Chicago has lost six of the seven games Nick Nastrini (0-6, 7.04 ERA) has appeared in and while Cade Povich (1-7, 6.58 ERA) is not a guy who I tend to back, he’s facing what’s essentially a Triple-A caliber lineup. Then, in the second game, NL Cy Young frontrunner Chris Sale (15-3, 2.58 ERA) and the Braves (74-63) will host the Rockies (51-87), who will send Kyle Freeland (4-6, 5.51 ERA) to the mound. Since I don’t want to touch the Orioles (-290) or Braves (-375) on their moneylines, this is a great option, in my opinion.
Lucy Burdge: Max Muncy O 0.5 Hits vs. Angels (-140, BetMGM)
Muncy has four hits in his last two games and eight hits in his last 10 games. And against Reid Detmers, Muncy is batting .600 with a home run and two singles. Detmers has also allowed 24 hits over his last four starts. So I think Muncy can at least get a hit tonight.
Matt Horner: Giants ML vs. Diamondbacks (+100, BetRivers)
RHP Ryne Nelson is getting the ball for Arizona tonight, and to be quite fair to him, fading him is not the reason I like the Giants in this game. I’ve wagered on him a bunch in the second-half of the season after a poor first-half, as he showed positive regression indicators during the home stretch. He has certainly gotten that, with a 2.90 ERA and 3.21 xFIP since the All-Star break. He owns a 4.22 ERA, with a 4.24 xERA and 4.06 xFIP, so he is close to pitching to expectations now. The Giants are a much weaker lineup against right-handed pitching, so I wouldn’t be shocked if Nelson had a quality start.
Countering him will be LHP Kyle Harrison, who I have also preached about a ton this season, mostly on his home/road splits. In his short career, he has had FAR more success pitching at home at Oracle Park than he has on the road. He owns a 3.24 ERA and 3.90 xFIP in his career at home, with a 5.23 ERA and 5.02 xFIP on the road. He has almost a 60% fly ball rate this season, and has always been a fly ball pitcher, which hurts him in a lot of MLB stadiums. That isn’t as much the case at Oracle, which has allowed the fewest home runs of any MLB park since 2021. He can pitch much more confidently at home than he can on the road.
Kate Constable: Wings -5.5 vs. Mystics (-110, FanDuel)
These teams have met twice this season with the Mystics winning both games back in June. A lot has changed since then, especially for Dallas with Satou Sabally returning after missing the first half of the season. She’s averaged 20.6 points and 6.3 rebounds over her last 10 games, giving the Wings another much-needed go-to scorer alongside Arike Ogunbowale. I also think the Mystics are getting a bit more respect in the market based on their recent 3-1 record. However, those wins were against the Sparks, a Storm team that was struggling at the time and the Sky without their leading scorer. Grab the home team to get revenge and take the Wings -5.5.