Thursday Night Football in Week 10 brings a thrilling AFC North clash between the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens. With the Bengals fighting to stay in playoff contention and the Ravens looking to solidify their dominance, this matchup has everything on the line. Our experts break down their top picks, covering Joe Burrow’s passing yard prop, Bengals +6.5, and a sneaky bet on Zay Flowers outperforming Ja’Marr Chase in receiving yards. Here’s a look at their predictions and insights to help you make informed bets for this high-stakes game.
Dan Karpuc: Bengals QB Joe Burrow Over 263.5 Passing Yards vs. Ravens (-115, BetMGM)
The Ravens have continuously gotten crushed by opposing quarterbacks all season long and have given up an NFL-worst 301.8 passing yards per game this season. In the first meeting between these two teams (a 41-38 overtime win by Baltimore), Burrow went 30-for-39 for 392 yards, five touchdowns and an interception. As that stat line indicates, he had absolutely zero issue moving the ball downfield through the air and I suspect that’ll be the case once again in the rematch. He’s been dialed in all season long and knows Cincinnati needs to come out with a victory in this game, so I expect the best from the big-game QB.
Lucy Burdge: Bengals +6.5 (-120, BetMGM)
The Bengals covered this number when these two faced off in October when the Ravens won 41-38 in overtime. The Bengals are also 4-2 ATS in their last six games and the Ravens are allowing 7.4 yards per pass attempt. So I am comfortable taking the points with the Bengals against the Ravens here.
Matt Horner: Bengals +6.5 (-120, BetMGM)
I think the Bengals will be the safe pick here. At the time of writing this, Cincinnati is getting just 34 percent of the handle on the spread, and you can count on many moneyline parlays to start off with Baltimore. The Bengals were my preseason AFC Champion pick, and while that has looked very grim right from the get go, they aren’t totally out of it. QB Joe Burrow is as locked in as ever, putting up an MVP-like season, but the wins haven’t come due to a lackluster defense that I had high hopes for. Ideally, I’d love for Cincy to win the game, but I feel comfortable taking the six points.
Kate Constable: Derrick Henry Longest Rush Over 18.5 (-110, BetMGM)
I have bet this for the last couple weeks and I’ll continue to do so until it fails to hit. Henry has gone over his longest rush prop in every game this season except Week 1, which was his first game with the Ravens. In other words, he’s hit this in eight straight games with runs of 20, 39, 81, 27, 51, 87, 29 and 29. Six of these runs have come in the second half because Henry just wears opposing defenses down throughout the game before ripping off a big run in the second half. The Bengals' defense has only allowed one carry of 30+ yards this season, which came at the hands of Henry. Grab this now at BetMGM because it’s already at 20.5 at other books.
Bryan Zarpentine: Zay Flowers More Receiving Yards Than Ja’Marr Chase (+195, BetMGM)
This isn’t the most conventional bet in the world, but it holds a ton of value and makes all of the sense in the world. Granted, Ja’Marr Chase crushed the Ravens for 193 yards and two touchdowns earlier this season. But his season has been defined by two big games and a whole bunch of mediocre games. Chase has been held to 55 receiving yards or less in three straight games, and it’s not as if he’s not getting targeted enough. Flowers, meanwhile, is getting plenty of targets and making the most of them. Other than the game against the Bucs when he got hurt, Flowers has gone over 100 yards in his last four games. That stretch started with 111 yards on seven catches against the Bengals. He and Lamar Jackson are on the same page and Flowers is also making things happen after the catch. After the earlier meeting, the Baltimore defense should be focused on slowing down Chase whereas it doesn’t look like any defense can contain Flowers right now.
Nick Ashooh: Watch Video Below!
Get up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets at BetMGM! All you need to do is CLICK HERE, sign up for a new account, make your first deposit and bet! Don’t miss out!
Related
