The Memphis Grizzlies are primed for a comeback in the 2024-2025 NBA season, and the line set at 47.5 wins on BetMGM offers a solid betting opportunity. After a turbulent 2023-2024 season in which they finished 27-55, primarily due to Ja Morant’s extended absence and injuries to key players like Desmond Bane, the Grizzlies are healthier, deeper, and more versatile than ever. Let’s break down why betting on Memphis to win over 47.5 games is not only reasonable but also potentially undervaluing this team’s talent.
In the two seasons prior to their injury-riddled last campaign, the Grizzlies went 51-31 and 56-26, respectively. During those runs, Morant was crowned Most Improved Player, Jaren Jackson Jr. earned Defensive Player of the Year honors and Zachary Kleiman secured Executive of the Year. The framework for success is there, and barring significant injuries, the Grizzlies should comfortably exceed this win total.
At the heart of the Grizzlies’ resurgence is Ja Morant, arguably one of the league’s most dynamic point guards. While Morant’s off-court issues led to a significant disruption last season, his presence in the backcourt, along with Marcus Smart and Desmond Bane, gives Memphis one of the most potent guard rotations in the league. Bane, a breakout star, struggled with injuries but remains a crucial piece to the team’s offensive and defensive strategies. Together, Morant and Bane are a legitimate 1-2 punch, capable of carrying this team deep into the regular season and playoffs.
Defensively, Memphis is as good as it gets. Jaren Jackson Jr., the reigning Defensive Player of the Year, anchors the frontcourt, with Marcus Smart bringing his tenacity and grit to the perimeter. This combination alone will make it difficult for opponents to put up points on Memphis, particularly in clutch moments when defense becomes even more critical.
Adding to the mix is Zach Edey, the favorite for Rookie of the Year at +650 on BetMGM. Edey, one of the most decorated college players of all time, offers a post presence that Memphis lacked last season. His ability to dominate both ends of the floor will complement Jackson Jr. and help solidify Memphis’ interior defense while adding another scoring option in the paint. Edey’s development, along with Brandon Clarke and Santi Aldama as valuable role players, gives Memphis one of the deepest frontcourts in the league.
With this depth, head coach Taylor Jenkins has incredible flexibility when it comes to rotations. Jenkins is currently listed at +850 for Coach of the Year, the second-shortest odds, reflecting expectations for a successful Grizzlies season. Jenkins will be able to run different lineups depending on matchups, using players like Luke Kennard and Jake LaRavia for shooting, while Vince Williams Jr. and GG Jackson II also offer versatility. This level of roster flexibility is an asset that will help Memphis secure wins, especially during the grind of an 82-game season.
Morant is also an intriguing bet for Clutch Player of the Year, listed at +1900 on BetMGM. His ability to take over games in key moments is well-documented, and if he remains focused and available throughout the season, there’s a strong case to be made for him to win the award. He will definitely have a chip on his shoulder. Meanwhile, Taylor Jenkins has already proven he can lead this team to over 50 wins, and with the improvements across the roster, he’s a legitimate contender for Coach of the Year, especially considering last year’s 27-win campaign. Edey’s chances for Rookie of the Year are equally strong, as his transition to the NBA should be seamless given his college dominance and role on this Grizzlies team.
The Grizzlies’ win total is set at 47.5 games for good reason, but this team is built to win more—potentially 55 or even 60 games—if they can stay healthy. With Morant back in the lineup, a deep and versatile roster, and one of the best defenses in the league, Memphis has all the tools to exceed expectations. Back the Grizzlies to win over 47.5 games, and keep an eye on those exciting futures for Morant, Jenkins, and Edey. This season, Memphis could not only bounce back but be one of the NBA’s most dangerous teams.
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