The New York Jets face off against the New England Patriots in a pivotal Thursday Night Football matchup, and if you’re looking for a value play, Allen Lazard stands out as a prime target for a Same Game Parlay (SGP).
The Pick: Allen Lazard 75+ Alt Receiving Yards & Anytime TD (+1300, BetMGM)
Lazard has a well-established chemistry with Aaron Rodgers from their time together in Green Bay. While Week 2 was underwhelming for him (just two receptions for 11 yards), he showcased his potential in Week 1 with six catches for 89 yards and two touchdowns. Rodgers has a 125.0 passer rating when targeting Lazard, ranking sixth among receivers who have run at least 50 routes this season.
Lazard’s average depth of target (aDOT) has also been promising, with 10.4 yards in Week 1 and 13.0 yards in Week 2. This aligns well with a Patriots defense that has been great against the run but vulnerable against the pass. New England has allowed the 8th-most air yards to wide receivers this season, despite the presence of rising star CB Christian Gonzalez.
Gonzalez held DK Metcalf to just 24 yards on 3 catches when covering him in Week 2, but Metcalf and other Seahawks receivers thrived when facing other Patriots defenders, with Jaxon Smith-Njigba notably racking up 117 yards on 12 catches (16 targets). If Gonzalez shadows Jets WR Garrett Wilson, Lazard could emerge as the Jets' secondary target, making him a strong bet for a big game.
Lazard already has a 22.4% target share, behind only Wilson’s 29.3%, and leads the team in red zone targets with four. With Mike Williams still limited due to injury, expect Lazard to play a significant role in this Thursday night showdown.
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