The 2024 Shriners Children's Open offers a wide-open field for PGA bettors, with numerous opportunities for value across the board. From Tom Kim leading the way as the betting favorite to long shots like Rickie Fowler, this tournament presents intriguing picks for bettors. We’ll break down the best bets using a predictive model, offering analysis on top players and their odds to finish strong. Let’s dive into the top betting picks for the Shriners Children's Open, including player predictions, potential value plays, and expert analysis.
Tom Kim To Win (+1200) - 3-Star
The model is projecting Kim at +615 odds to win the Shriners Children’s Open, so we are getting nearly double the value here at BetMGM with these 12/1 odds. He’s currently the favorite in the market to win the event at that number in what is a very wide open field. Kim had a decent 2024 season, and he finished right around average in most advanced categories. He was 61st in total strokes gained, 71st off the tee, and 53rd on his approach to the green. He did struggle with his putting, however, where he ranked 110th in the field with his short game. In a field as open as this one, Kim is one of your most consistent and reliable golfers out there, which is why he is favored. He’s no Keith Mitchell, but he’s still quite good.
Rickie Fowler To Finish Top 5 (+1100) - 5-Star
The model is projecting Fowler at +247 to finish inside the top 5 of the Shriners Children’s Open, so clearly getting 11/1 odds is going to trigger a 5-Star bet. I’ll try to be as nice as I can here to Fowler, and there is a reason that he is this big of a long shot to finish inside the top 5. Simply put, he was terrible in 2024 after he had a comeback year in 2023. The veteran American golfer finished 156th in total strokes gained, and was one of the worst on tour. He was 144th off the tee and 140th on his approach. The best part of his game was his putting, which was still below average and ranked 102nd. I honestly would be shocked if he performed well enough to cash this wager, but clearly, the model is seeing something that I am not.
Harris English To Finish Top 10 (+350) 4-Star
The model is projecting English at +167 to finish inside the top 10 at the Shriners Children’s Open, so we are getting a small bit of value here with his 3.5/1 odds. The veteran American golfer was around the same kind of player that Kim was this season, ranking fairly average overall in his advanced stats. He finished 68th in total strokes gained, 83rd off the tee, and was actually great in his short game, ranking 13th overall. He’s mainly struggled with his approach to the green, where he ranked 139th in that category. Still, he’s much more consistent with his play than Fowler has been, and these are some pretty good odds for a solid golfer to at least get into the top 10.
Ryan Fox To Finish Top 20 (+275) 5-Star
The model is projecting Fox at -115 to finish inside the top 20 at the Shriners Children’s Open, so getting plus money on a prop it thinks you should be laying juice on is going to immediately trigger a 5-star play. Fox is the first golfer that I have written about today that actually ranks at average to above-average in every advanced category. He finished 2024 ranked 87th in total strokes gained, 77th off the tee, 79th on approach, and 47th in putting. He’s a jack of all trades, and a specialist at none. There is nothing that he does great at, but there is also no part of his game where he has really struggled. If you want the definition of an average golfer this season, Fox is your guy. All we need him to do is finish inside the top 20 for us to cash this +275, and the model clearly likes that value.
Taylor Montgomery To Finish Top 40 (+275)
The model is projecting Montgomery at -136 to finish inside the top 40 at the Shriners Children’s Open, so once again, this is a situation where we are getting good plus money on a wager that the model thinks should be juiced, and pretty handily this time as well. Montgomery is a very weird case. He was horrendous in every advanced stat but one, and in that one, he was the very best in golf at. He finished 160th in total strokes gained, 175th off the tee, and 159th on approach. All those numbers make him one of the worst on tour. However, funny enough, he was the best putter in the PGA this season, ranking 1st in that category. If you need a putt to be sunk, he’s your guy.
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