The 2025 Women’s Australian Open promises to deliver thrilling tennis action as the world's best players compete in Melbourne for the season's first Grand Slam title. Aryna Sabalenka leads the pack as the favorite, while rising star Qinwen Zheng offers exceptional value. Meanwhile, Olivia Gadecki emerges as a sleeper pick with longshot odds for bettors seeking a high-reward option.
Whether you’re backing proven champions or taking a chance on dark horses, these best bets provide insight into the most intriguing plays for the tournament. Let’s break down the top picks for the 2025 Women’s Australian Open!
Best Bet: Aryna Sabalenka (+225, BetMGM)
It’s impossible to look past how dominant Sabalenka has been in Australia over the last couple years. Going 27-1 overall in the country since the start of 2023 (with her only loss to Elena Rybankina in the 2024 Brisbane final), she is going for an Aussie Open three-peat and holds a 22-5 career record at this Grand Slam, the best winning percentage (81.5%) of any active female player. After overtaking Iga Swiatek for the world’s No. 1 ranking, this would be her third-straight hard court Grand Slam win after winning last year’s Australian and U.S. Opens and she would become the first player since Martina Hingis (1997-1999) to win three consecutive AO titles. To add, Sabalenka won 94.7% of her Grand Slam matches last season, which was the best since Serena Williams in 2015, and for her career, Sabalenka holds a 50-11 record (82% win rate) at the two hard court Grand Slams, the best of all active players. She's the best player in the world right now and even at these +225 odds, she's a smart bet based on her utter dominance in the Land Down Under.
Value Pick: Qinwen Zheng (+1800, FanDuel)
Seeded No. 5 at this event, Zheng had a magical 2024 in which she advanced to the Australian Open Final, won the women’s singles gold medal at the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics and finished second at the WTA Finals. Sporting a huge serve (her 445 aces ranked first on the WTA by a huge margin, almost 100 over the next-best mark), and elite forehand, her game is suited very well for the hard court. (Last year, her forehand had a higher spin rate than any other woman at this event, nearly 2800 rpm, which was about the men’s average!) After losing to Sabalenka in last year’s final, she will be hungry and determined to get back to that stage and this time get some revenge. As one of the most marketable and personable stars in the game, she will have the support of a very passionate crowd behind her throughout the tournament as well. Overall, I love the price on one of the WTA’s rising stars. Her best performances are ahead of her and I expect her to win multiple Grand Slams.
Sleeper Pick: Olivia Gadecki (+70000 BetRivers)
The 22 year old is the top ranked Aussie woman in this year’s draw and has gone 40-17, 20-7, 29-13 and 23-13 on hard courts over her first four full professional seasons. She is ranked inside the Top 100 and in September, she defeated world No. 11 Danielle Collins in a straight-sets victory to reach her first WTA final in Guadalajara, Mexico. This is her first Grand Slam main draw appearance without a wild card and at this price, it’s worth a sprinkle to back her and hope for a nice cash-out option if she makes it through the first few rounds. Remember, every year, there’s seemingly one or two women that come out of nowhere and break out. This could be Gadecki’s year to do just that.
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