Why Betting on the Falcons to Upset the Eagles in Week 2 Might Be a Risky Play

Jalen Hurts' Dominance at Home and Kirk Cousins' Monday Night Struggles Make Falcons a Tough Underdog Bet
Saquon Barkley
Photo credit Imagn

Before placing a bet on the Atlanta Falcons (0-1) to beat the Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) on Monday Night Football in Week 2, consider the trends working against Atlanta. Jalen Hurts has been nearly unbeatable as a home favorite, boasting an 18-2 straight-up (SU) record in that scenario throughout his NFL career. In the first two months of the season, Hurts has been perfect, going 7-0 SU when favored at Lincoln Financial Field. This makes the Eagles a formidable opponent in any early-season home game, but especially this week.

On the other side, Falcons QB Kirk Cousins has struggled mightily as a sizable underdog. In his career, Cousins is just 8-24 SU when getting four or more points. His Monday Night Football record is also a red flag, with Cousins posting a 3-10 SU mark in his career under the primetime lights. For years, his inability to lead his team to wins in primetime made him a laughingstock.

The betting odds reflect these trends. At BetMGM, the Falcons are listed as +200 underdogs on the moneyline, while the Eagles are solid favorites at -250. BetQL gives Philadelphia a 77.51% chance of winning, with implied odds of -344 and a projected final score of 30-23 in favor of the Eagles.

The Eagles beat the Packers 34-29 in Brazil in Week 1 while the Falcons lost to the Steelers by the score of 18-10.

With Hurts’ dominant home record and Cousins’ well-documented struggles in big games, betting on an upset in Week 2 seems like a high-risk move, even with AJ Brown out for the Eagles and a huge rebound performance potentially in store for Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts.

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Featured Image Photo Credit: Imagn