Ranking the top 10 quarterbacks age 24 and under in the NFL
When the New York Jets and San Francisco 49ers selected quarterbacks with the No. 2 and No. 3 picks in the 2021 NFL Draft, both franchises thought they were solving the most important position in sports for at least a decade.
But as the rookie seasons of Zach Wilson and Trey Lance wind down, there's legitimate questions about whether either were worth the investments that their respective teams made in them.

Wilson -- who some felt had the highest upside of any quarterback in last year's class after a breakout junior season at BYU -- has thrown six touchdowns to 11 interceptions in parts of eight games. And as Audacy Sports NFL Insider Ross Tucker put it Sunday, the 22-year-old "throws some of the worst interceptions that you've ever seen."
No one is suggesting that Wilson has walked into a situation with a team that's ready to win -- the stability that many thought Robert Saleh would bring to the Jets hasn't yet come. The Jets are 3-9 with a league-worst -150 point differential.
And yet, it may be Saleh's former employer -- the 49ers -- who are in an even worse position.
If it turns out that the Jets didn't hit on a top-five pick, that's unfortunate, but at least one team makes a regrettable top-five selection ever year. If the 49ers whiffed on the No. 3 overall pick, not only did they burn that selection, but also two future first-round picks and a third rounder which were used to trade up to that pick. As we put it at the time, the selection of Lance "could put you on a parade float or get your regime dismissed within the next five years."
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Lance's athleticism is clearly elite, but outside of 47 pass attempts in relief of an injured Jimmy Garoppolo in Week 4 and Week 5 losses, the No. 3 overall pick has hardly seen the field. In his lone start in Week 5, moving the ball through the air seemed like a struggle for Lance. Granted, the 49ers lost that game by just a touchdown to the NFL-best Arizona Cardinals. But a year after playing just one showcase game at North Dakota State because of the COVID-19 pandemic, 2021 has essentially turned into a redshirt rookie year for Lance.
It's fair to wonder if Kyle Shannahan and company will just hand the keys over the Lance next year. He has to get consistent snaps and a chance to develop at some point, but the 49ers are a team built to win right now, and Garoppolo is pretty clearly a better option at this juncture. Garoppolo has a $27 million cap hit in 2022, the final year of his deal. It's fair to wonder if the 49ers will bring him back at that price, unsure of whether Lance will be ready to start for a team that fancies itself a Super Bowl contender.
Keep in mind, we aren't saying that Wilson and/or Lance won't end up being star quarterbacks. However, neither is trending in that direction right now. And as we rank the top 10 quarterbacks age 24 and under in the NFL, both find themselves on the outside looking in: