You will feel the difference Monday as much warmer air overtakes the Buffalo-Niagara region and high temperatures in the 60's across much of the area.
The warmup will come with some wind, too, and gusts as high as 45 mph along the lakeshore across the Western New York region.
"We are expecting high temperatures across much of WNY to get into the mid to upper 60's," National Weather Service meteorologist Phillip Pandolfo tells WBEN. "Actually, a few lower 70's expected across portions of the Genesee Valley."
The warmth will come with some wind, for sure.
"We're going to have a pretty stiff southwest wind coming off of icy Lake Erie, so right in downtown Buffalo and north of the lake there, likely going to be quite a bit cooler ... they may only see highs in the low 60's, or even upper 50's right along the shoreline," Pandolfo says.
Snowmelt from mild temperatures through mid-week, along with widespread rainfall will bring the potential for flooding through the week.
"We are expecting a good slug of rain to come through the area around midweek," Pandolfo predicts.
A Flood Warning is posted specifically to Tonawanda Creek at Rapids.
"There could be some impacts to some low-lying roads in Royalton and Newstead, as well as some possible low-land flooding of some farm areas (along) Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda Indian Reservation," Pandolfo notes.
A turn back to cold for later in the week is in store, forecasters caution.
Significantly colder air behind a strong cold front will support minor accumulating lake enhanced/effect snow late Wednesday night through Thursday. AAny accumulations should be on the order of a dusting to a half inch by daybreak.
Some lake effect snow is possible through the day Thursday.
The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in New
York
Tonawanda Creek At Rapids affecting Niagara and Erie Counties.
For the Tonawanda Creek...including Rapids...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.