How much did the Red Sox’ playoff odds suffer after their dismal series loss to the Orioles?
Quite a bit.
Despite being swept by the Yankees, Fangraphs still gave the Red Sox an 86.1% chance to make the postseason. That made sense, considering they were still in command of a wild card spot and set to play six games against the Orioles and Nationals.
Now, however, their odds stand at 59.7%. The Red Sox are now tied with the Mariners for the second wild card spot. If the season ended today, they would face off against Seattle in Game No. 163 to determine who would get into the play-in game against New York.
That’s a tough road.
With three games remaining against the moribund Nationals, the Red Sox are still in control of their own fate. They’re guaranteed a play-in game against the Mariners if they sweep Washington (the Mariners are playing the 75-84 Angels).
But then again, the Red Sox combined for eight hits in two losses to a Baltimore team that ran out a starting pitcher with an ERA of 6.75 in the series finale, and posts a collective ERA of 5.77.
What do you think the odds were of that?
