
If I said you'll "probably" like this story, what are the actual ODDS I'm putting on it? It turns out the answer is about a 70% chance.
Someone gave people a list of terms we all use to describe how likely things are. Like, "maybe" . . . "might happen" . . . or "probably will." Here are ten terms, and what the average person means when they say them...
1. "Almost certain" . . . it means we think there's an 80% chance it will happen.
2. "Probably" . . . 70% chance it'll happen.
3. "Likely" . . . 67%.
4. "More likely than not" . . . 62%.
5. "Possibly" . . . 54%.
6. "50/50 chance" . . . 50%.
7. "Outside chance" . . . 35%.
8. "Probably won't" . . . 31%.
9. "Unlikely" . . . 29%.
10. "Very unlikely" . . . 24%.
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