With the California primary election fast approaching, a new poll finds San Francisco District Attorney Chesa Boudin is in for some trouble when it comes to defeating the recall.
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The poll, commissioned by the San Francisco Standard, found that more than half of registered voters in San Francisco approve of the recall. Only 22% said they planned to reject the recall.
But the new poll does show some improvement for Boudin, compared to a poll that was commissioned by the recall campaign against him earlier this year, which showed 68% of San Francisco residents approved of the recall.
The most recent survey polled more than 1,000 voters online between April 30 and May 4. Some, 21%, said they’re still not sure how they will vote in the recall.
Recall proponents are likely to play into voter anxieties, according to Jason McDaniel, an associate professor of Political Science at San Francisco State University.
And McDaniel it's likely that San Francisco officials will avoid announcing their support or opposition to the recall until closer to election day.
"I think that people, rightly, even people from his aisle who don't want to be affiliated too strongly with someone who it seems like is going to have a very tough time defeating the recall," he said.
The recall campaign against Boudin has long argued that the DA has not been cracking down on crime enough and his office has been mismanaged under his leadership.
But Boudin has argued that his progressive policies take time.
"The perception about crime and safety is not just about crime and safety, it's about homelessness, and clean streets, and just the general condition of the city," said San Francisco-based political strategist Eric Jaye.
Recall proponents will likely make the case about the city's safety, while Boudin will argue he should be given the opportunity to finish the job, according to Jaye.
"Ultimately the question is, do the voters have the patience in San Francisco to allow his approach to work," he said.
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