California set to end January on dry note, per latest forecasts

Most of California is set to end January on a dry note.

Neither Northern nor Southern California is in for much more to close out 2022’s first month. Although forecasts earlier this week projected a chance of rain at the end of January, updated models aren't anticipating any rain in the Bay Area and beyond as the calendar turns to February.

Podcast Episode
KCBS Radio: On-Demand
State water regulators implement emergency rules to prevent further drought
Listen Now
Now Playing
Now Playing

The National Weather Service Weather Prediction Center's forecast projects little, if any, rain touching California through the middle of next week. Slight precipitation is only expected in the state’s northwest corner and between Sacramento and Reno, Nevada.

Only small pockets of California are due for any precipitation at the turn of the month, and none of it is expected to be significant.
Only small pockets of California are due for any precipitation at the turn of the month, and none of it is expected to be significant. Photo credit National Weather Service

Following a wet December, nearly two-thirds of the state is experiencing severe drought (66.4%) and only 1.4% of the state is experiencing exceptional or extreme drought, according to federal data. But a continued lack of precipitation could exacerbate drought conditions across the state.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Western Regional Climate Center’s data through Tuesday showed that the vast majority of California had experienced fewer than 50% of average precipitation through January. Most of the Bay Area and parts of Southern California received at least two fewer inches of precipitation than normal.

Map of California showing the percent of average precipitation.
Most of California has experienced fewer than 50% of normal precipitation so far this month. Photo credit NOAA Western Regional Climate Center
Most of the state has experienced fewer inches of precipitation than normal.
Most of the state has experienced fewer inches of precipitation than normal. Photo credit NOAA Western Regional Climate Center

California’s 2021 water year, running from Oct. 1, 2020 until Sept. 30, 2021, was the second driest on record, according to the California Department of Water Resources. The Bay Area and parts of Southern California have, so far, experienced average to above-average precipitation during this water year, thanks to a series of storms in October and December.

This water year, the Bay Area and Southern California has experienced average to above-average precipitation. That includes dry spells in November and January.
This water year, the Bay Area and Southern California has experienced average to above-average precipitation. That includes dry spells in November and January. Photo credit NOAA Western Regional Climate Center

But based on the latest forecasts, don't expect another one at the start of February.

Featured Image Photo Credit: Justin Sullivan/Getty Images