As they consider who to vote for in the upcoming 2024 presidential election, American voters are confident about who they don’t want to see in office.
When asked who they do want to see in the White House next, they were less certain, according to poll results released Thursday. Monmouth University’s Polling Institute conducted the survey of 918 voters age 18 and older across the country from May 18 to May 23.
“In hypothetical scenarios involving President Joe Biden running as the Democratic nominee against three different Republicans, just under half the electorate says they have definitely ruled out supporting the incumbent,” said a summary of the results. “This is nearly identical to the number who have ruled out voting for former President Donald Trump, but higher than opposition to either Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis or former Vice President Mike Pence should either of them become the Republican nominee.”
Overall, 45% of voters said they definitely would not vote for Biden and 46% said they definitely would not vote for current GOP frontrunner Donald Trump if they are the 2024 presidential candidates.
More men (53%) said they would definitely not vote for Biden compared to women (37%). These percentages were reversed regarding Trump: 54% of women said they wouldn’t support him, compared to 38% of men. Additionally, more college degree holders (60%) said they would definitely not vote for Trump compared with people who had no degree (39%). More people without a degree (49%) said they would definitely not vote for Biden compared to degree holders (38%).
Monmouth also tracked two other potential GOP candidates, former Vice President Mike Pence, and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who announced his candidacy this week. In the DeSantis/Biden matchup, 41% said they definitely wouldn’t vote for the Florida governor and 46% said they definitely wouldn’t vote for the incumbent president. In the Pence/Biden matchup, 36% said they definitely wouldn’t vote for Pence and 44% said they definitely wouldn’t vote for Biden.
“Negative opinion can be difficult to shift, and when it does it tends to be in the wrong direction for the candidate. That’s not to say these views won’t change in the next year and a half, but these results are a sign of how few voters are truly up for grabs in our hyper-partisan political environment,” said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute.
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