A new poll has former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden in seven key battleground states.
The poll from Emerson College/The Hill, released Tuesday, has Trump leading in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
The same poll found that Biden has an advantage among undecided voters -- but that a third-party presidential candidate would take more votes away from Biden than from Trump.
"The state of the presidential election in swing states has remained relatively consistent since Emerson and The Hill started tracking them last November," Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said in a statement. "The share of undecided voters has reduced and Biden gained ground in Georgia and Nevada, narrowing the gap, while Trump has maintained a slight edge on Biden in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin."
According to the poll:
• In Arizona, Trump leads by four points: 48% to 44%; 8% are undecided.
• In Georgia, 47% support Trump, 44% Biden, and 9% are undecided.
• In Michigan, 45% support Trump, 44% Biden, and 11% are undecided.
• In Nevada, 45% support Trump, 44% Biden, and 11% are undecided.
• In North Carolina, 47% support Trump, 42% Biden, and 10% are undecided.
• In Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, 47% support Trump, 45% Biden, and 8% are undecided.
"Independent voters break for Trump over Biden in Arizona (48%-38%), Michigan (44%-35%), Nevada (43%-37%), Pennsylvania (49%-33%), and North Carolina (41%-38%). However they break for Biden over Trump in Georgia (42%-38%) and Wisconsin (44%-41%)," Kimball noted.
When third-party candidates are included on the ballot, the poll shows support is pulled away from Biden more than Trump in five states: Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Support is drawn evenly from each candidate in Arizona and Michigan.
While Trump is on trial in New York -- facing charges he illegally tried to influence the election by making hush money payments meant to stifle embarrassing stories from surfacing in the final days of the 2016 campaign -- the poll shows most voters don't seem to be bothered.
When voters were asked how a Trump guilty verdict would impact the likelihood of supporting him for president in 2024, a majority of Republicans say it would make them more likely to support him. On the other hand, 15% of Pennsylvania Republicans say they are less likely to support Trump, along with 13% in Arizona, 11% in Wisconsin, 10% in Michigan, and 9% in Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina.